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Beans (niebe) in Ziniaré

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

242–390

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

245–446

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 242 and 390 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 245 and 446 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Ziniaré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 242 and 390 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 245 and 446 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 291–364 325 276–401 480 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 248–381 321 189–413 410 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 242–390 319 177–435 422 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 237–413 320 175–519 458 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 245–446 327 208–450 451 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026409
Aug 2026326
Jul 2026327
Jun 2026313
May 2026362
Apr 2026352
Mar 2026390
Feb 2026414
Jan 2026389
Dec 2025391
Nov 2025371
Oct 2025361
Sept 2025452
Aug 2025415
Jul 2025508
Jun 2025560
May 2025587
Apr 2025626
Mar 2025582
Feb 2025594
Jan 2025602
Dec 2024591
Nov 2024497
Oct 2024475
Sept 2024737
Aug 2024667
Jul 2024470
Jun 2024461
May 2024449
Apr 2024432
Mar 2024403
Feb 2024382
Jan 2024339
Dec 2023344
Nov 2023309
Oct 2023268
Sept 2023256
Aug 2023243
Jul 2023255
Jun 2023252
May 2023277
Apr 2023268
Mar 2023268
Feb 2023299
Jan 2023298
Dec 2022315
Nov 2022319
Oct 2022332
Sept 2022397
Aug 2022463
Jul 2022537
Jun 2022516
May 2022523
Apr 2022509
Mar 2022497
Feb 2022492
Jan 2022512
Dec 2021660
Nov 2021535
Oct 2021436
Sept 2021536
Aug 2021538
Jul 2021450
Jun 2021416
May 2021380
Apr 2021371
Mar 2021375
Feb 2021307
Jan 2021282
Dec 2020300
Nov 2020286
Oct 2020277
Sept 2020270
Aug 2020256
Jul 2020270
Jun 2020279
May 2020260
Apr 2020273
Mar 2020269
Feb 2020279
Jan 2020230
Dec 2019218
Nov 2019209
Oct 2019229
Sept 2019205
Aug 2019205
Jul 2019205
Jun 2019218
May 2019235
Apr 2019256
Mar 2019273
Feb 2019290
Jan 2019260
Dec 2018262
Nov 2018262
Oct 2018256
Sept 2018337
Aug 2018353
Jul 2018347
Jun 2018354
May 2018362
Apr 2018354
Mar 2018341
Feb 2018341
Jan 2018343
Dec 2017303
Nov 2017273
Oct 2017297
Sept 2017341
Aug 2017341
Jul 2017307
Jun 2017307
May 2017313
Apr 2017316
Mar 2017317
Feb 2017307
Jan 2017294
Dec 2016284
Nov 2016259
Oct 2016250
Sept 2016333
Aug 2016341
Jul 2016336
Jun 2016316
May 2016341
Apr 2016341
Mar 2016333
Feb 2016314
Jan 2016256
Dec 2015307
Nov 2015273
Oct 2015249
Sept 2015286
Aug 2015268
Jul 2015263
Jun 2015263
May 2015262
Apr 2015239
Mar 2015224
Feb 2015245
Jan 2015216

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3402-120-retail-kg.