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Maize (white) in Ziniaré

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

162–232

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

149–255

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 162 and 232 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 149 and 255 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Ziniaré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 162 and 232 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 149 and 255 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 189–224 203 177–231 290 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 171–224 204 136–236 267 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 162–232 202 131–263 262 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 156–239 200 117–306 260 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 149–255 201 92.2–354 266 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026210
Aug 2026202
Jul 2026204
Jun 2026207
May 2026203
Apr 2026186
Mar 2026188
Feb 2026201
Jan 2026218
Dec 2025205
Nov 2025205
Oct 2025210
Sept 2025249
Aug 2025246
Jul 2025257
Jun 2025277
May 2025280
Apr 2025287
Mar 2025281
Feb 2025275
Jan 2025256
Dec 2024270
Nov 2024279
Oct 2024316
Sept 2024328
Aug 2024310
Jul 2024255
Jun 2024238
May 2024238
Apr 2024238
Mar 2024238
Feb 2024238
Jan 2024241
Dec 2023238
Nov 2023238
Oct 2023238
Sept 2023238
Aug 2023238
Jul 2023238
Jun 2023224
May 2023230
Apr 2023208
Mar 2023208
Feb 2023238
Jan 2023238
Dec 2022234
Nov 2022241
Oct 2022221
Sept 2022289
Aug 2022289
Jul 2022283
Jun 2022289
May 2022281
Apr 2022272
Mar 2022248
Feb 2022227
Jan 2022223
Dec 2021218
Nov 2021206
Oct 2021215
Sept 2021213
Aug 2021209
Jul 2021202
Jun 2021198
May 2021186
Apr 2021158
Mar 2021161
Feb 2021166
Jan 2021164
Dec 2020154
Nov 2020173
Oct 2020173
Sept 2020174
Aug 2020164
Jul 2020163
Jun 2020160
May 2020146
Apr 2020151
Mar 2020160
Feb 2020154
Jan 2020142
Dec 2019133
Nov 2019142
Oct 2019138
Sept 2019142
Aug 2019155
Jul 2019139
Jun 2019137
May 2019137
Apr 2019142
Mar 2019142
Feb 2019142
Jan 2019155
Dec 2018160
Nov 2018160
Oct 2018173
Sept 2018186
Aug 2018195
Jul 2018195
Jun 2018191
May 2018177
Apr 2018177
Mar 2018177
Feb 2018177
Jan 2018160
Dec 2017160
Nov 2017148
Oct 2017151
Sept 2017177
Aug 2017170
Jul 2017160
Jun 2017160
May 2017160
Apr 2017160
Mar 2017160
Feb 2017160
Jan 2017153
Dec 2016142
Nov 2016138
Oct 2016142
Sept 2016157
Aug 2016168
Jul 2016175
Jun 2016177
May 2016182
Apr 2016168
Mar 2016159
Feb 2016156
Jan 2016160
Dec 2015155
Nov 2015157
Oct 2015148
Sept 2015158
Aug 2015151
Jul 2015157
Jun 2015160
May 2015148
Apr 2015142
Mar 2015144
Feb 2015139
Jan 2015166

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3402-67-retail-kg.