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Millet in Ziniaré

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

223–345

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

191–366

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 223 and 345 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 191 and 366 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Ziniaré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 223 and 345 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 191 and 366 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 238–315 282 230–327 356 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 220–334 282 217–369 343 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 223–345 278 211–351 351 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 195–351 272 146–436 332 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 191–366 267 135–550 331 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026298
Aug 2026286
Jul 2026232
Jun 2026240
May 2026245
Apr 2026253
Mar 2026244
Feb 2026242
Jan 2026271
Dec 2025283
Nov 2025283
Oct 2025288
Sept 2025300
Aug 2025333
Jul 2025317
Jun 2025355
May 2025383
Apr 2025394
Mar 2025387
Feb 2025387
Jan 2025370
Dec 2024360
Nov 2024432
Oct 2024447
Sept 2024451
Aug 2024481
Jul 2024310
Jun 2024284
May 2024276
Apr 2024286
Mar 2024293
Feb 2024289
Jan 2024283
Dec 2023280
Nov 2023279
Oct 2023267
Sept 2023272
Aug 2023272
Jul 2023283
Jun 2023290
May 2023310
Apr 2023310
Mar 2023310
Feb 2023314
Jan 2023323
Dec 2022341
Nov 2022376
Oct 2022345
Sept 2022437
Aug 2022403
Jul 2022345
Jun 2022345
May 2022345
Apr 2022339
Mar 2022317
Feb 2022287
Jan 2022284
Dec 2021291
Nov 2021261
Oct 2021241
Sept 2021232
Aug 2021229
Jul 2021219
Jun 2021249
May 2021245
Apr 2021237
Mar 2021236
Feb 2021232
Jan 2021232
Dec 2020231
Nov 2020249
Oct 2020236
Sept 2020238
Aug 2020226
Jul 2020210
Jun 2020210
May 2020188
Apr 2020184
Mar 2020192
Feb 2020186
Jan 2020179
Dec 2019170
Nov 2019184
Oct 2019182
Sept 2019197
Aug 2019192
Jul 2019185
Jun 2019184
May 2019192
Apr 2019199
Mar 2019205
Feb 2019210
Jan 2019184
Dec 2018210
Nov 2018233
Oct 2018224
Sept 2018245
Aug 2018262
Jul 2018262
Jun 2018275
May 2018276
Apr 2018271
Mar 2018280
Feb 2018274
Jan 2018269
Dec 2017249
Nov 2017256
Oct 2017267
Sept 2017271
Aug 2017227
Jul 2017227
Jun 2017227
May 2017227
Apr 2017216
Mar 2017227
Feb 2017204
Jan 2017210
Dec 2016197
Nov 2016222
Oct 2016216
Sept 2016199
Aug 2016205
Jul 2016201
Jun 2016201
May 2016197
Apr 2016201
Mar 2016205
Feb 2016192
Jan 2016184
Dec 2015192
Nov 2015205
Oct 2015210
Sept 2015210
Aug 2015210
Jul 2015220
Jun 2015214
May 2015199
Apr 2015192
Mar 2015201
Feb 2015188
Jan 2015192

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3402-73-retail-kg.