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Food basket in Ziniaré

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,198–4,727

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,768–5,201

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,019 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,198 and 4,727 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,768 and 5,201 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Ziniaré: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,019 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,198 and 4,727 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,768 and 5,201 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,433–4,376 3,952 3,304–4,567
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,199–4,617 3,949 3,040–5,056
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,198–4,727 3,927 2,967–4,895
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,790–4,850 3,816 2,203–5,813
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,768–5,201 3,831 2,046–7,320
Cost history (141 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,312
Aug 20264,019
Jul 20263,373
Jun 20263,443
May 20263,592
Apr 20263,670
Mar 20263,630
Feb 20263,649
Jan 20263,952
Dec 20254,100
Nov 20254,064
Oct 20254,106
Sept 20254,414
Aug 20254,743
Jul 20254,718
Jun 20255,268
May 20255,653
Apr 20255,855
Mar 20255,692
Feb 20255,713
Jan 20255,524
Dec 20245,384
Nov 20246,079
Oct 20246,219
Sept 20246,739
Aug 20246,973
Jul 20244,566
Jun 20244,238
May 20244,120
Apr 20244,210
Mar 20244,241
Feb 20244,156
Jan 20244,006
Dec 20233,979
Nov 20233,904
Oct 20233,686
Sept 20233,725
Aug 20233,701
Jul 20233,855
Jun 20233,934
May 20234,219
Apr 20234,202
Mar 20234,202
Feb 20234,306
Jan 20234,412
Dec 20224,659
Nov 20225,086
Oct 20224,738
Sept 20225,959
Aug 20225,669
Jul 20225,107
Jun 20225,069
May 20225,081
Apr 20224,984
Mar 20224,699
Feb 20224,330
Jan 20224,330
Dec 20214,680
Nov 20214,095
Oct 20213,677
Sept 20213,749
Aug 20213,716
Jul 20213,438
Jun 20213,737
May 20213,624
Apr 20213,512
Mar 20213,507
Feb 20213,337
Jan 20213,292
Dec 20203,312
Nov 20203,503
Oct 20203,331
Sept 20203,342
Aug 20203,173
Jul 20203,006
Jun 20203,022
May 20202,724
Apr 20202,699
Mar 20202,788
Feb 20202,734
Jan 20202,562
Dec 20192,432
Nov 20192,584
Oct 20192,596
Sept 20192,733
Aug 20192,673
Jul 20192,589
Jun 20192,600
May 20192,727
Apr 20192,849
Mar 20192,951
Feb 20193,042
Jan 20192,676
Dec 20182,992
Nov 20183,268
Oct 20183,149
Sept 20183,547
Aug 20183,779
Jul 20183,769
Jun 20183,937
May 20183,964
Apr 20183,889
Mar 20183,974
Feb 20183,902
Jan 20183,845
Dec 20173,533
Nov 20173,563
Oct 20173,739
Sept 20173,866
Aug 20173,338
Jul 20173,277
Jun 20173,277
May 20173,287
Apr 20173,161
Mar 20173,295
Feb 20173,001
Jan 20173,049
Dec 20162,875
Nov 20163,130
Oct 20163,042
Sept 20162,987
Aug 20163,074
Jul 20163,017
Jun 20162,981
May 20162,978
Apr 20163,026
Mar 20163,059
Feb 20162,869
Jan 20162,669
Dec 20152,857
Nov 20152,951
Oct 20152,968
Sept 20153,035
Aug 20153,002
Jul 20153,113
Jun 20153,041
May 20152,860
Apr 20152,734
Mar 20152,815
Feb 20152,697
Jan 20152,693

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508