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Beans (niebe) in Zorgho

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

276–444

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

288–502

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 276 and 444 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 288 and 502 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Zorgho: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 276 and 444 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 288 and 502 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02004006008001,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 348–423 388 303–440 472 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 308–441 385 235–461 459 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 276–444 368 170–475 430 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 259–459 371 152–508 446 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 288–502 387 196–629 496 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026369
Aug 2026390
Jul 2026382
Jun 2026373
May 2026383
Apr 2026383
Mar 2026389
Feb 2026400
Jan 2026412
Dec 2025421
Nov 2025392
Oct 2025386
Sept 2025434
Aug 2025443
Jul 2025551
Jun 2025550
May 2025547
Apr 2025578
Mar 2025596
Feb 2025611
Jan 2025777
Dec 2024520
Nov 2024467
Oct 2024603
Aug 2024660
Jul 2024597
Jun 2024511
May 2024519
Apr 2024463
Mar 2024398
Feb 2024396
Jan 2024400
Dec 2023358
Nov 2023332
Oct 2023319
Sept 2023258
Aug 2023262
Jul 2023295
Jun 2023316
May 2023313
Apr 2023313
Mar 2023317
Feb 2023318
Jan 2023311
Dec 2022322
Nov 2022307
Oct 2022396
Sept 2022458
Aug 2022489
Jul 2022476
Jun 2022525
May 2022517
Apr 2022512
Mar 2022534
Feb 2022465
Jan 2022441
Dec 2021392
Nov 2021378
Oct 2021371
Sept 2021474
Aug 2021465
Jul 2021387
Jun 2021353
May 2021359
Apr 2021306
Mar 2021317
Feb 2021286
Jan 2021285
Dec 2020256
Nov 2020239
Oct 2020248
Sept 2020237
Aug 2020218
Jul 2020221
Jun 2020233
May 2020228
Apr 2020220
Mar 2020217
Feb 2020221
Jan 2020211
Dec 2019185
Nov 2019185
Oct 2019193
Sept 2019188
Aug 2019182
Jul 2019189
Jun 2019199
May 2019237
Apr 2019241
Mar 2019273
Feb 2019260
Jan 2019249
Dec 2018245
Nov 2018246
Oct 2018279
Sept 2018336
Aug 2018357
Jul 2018359
Jun 2018379
May 2018352
Apr 2018339
Mar 2018341
Feb 2018329
Jan 2018316
Dec 2017273
Nov 2017280
Oct 2017303
Sept 2017323
Aug 2017323
Jul 2017312
Jun 2017298
May 2017315
Apr 2017306
Mar 2017287
Feb 2017290
Jan 2017274
Dec 2016254
Nov 2016254
Oct 2016238
Sept 2016285
Aug 2016305
Jul 2016287
Jun 2016306
May 2016323
Apr 2016323
Mar 2016306
Feb 2016290
Jan 2016258
Dec 2015210
Nov 2015226
Oct 2015254
Sept 2015258
Aug 2015258
Jul 2015253
Jun 2015254
May 2015242
Apr 2015250
Mar 2015250
Feb 2015238

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3403-120-retail-kg.