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Maize (white) in Zorgho

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

150–213

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

140–223

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 213 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 140 and 223 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Zorgho: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 213 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 140 and 223 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 173–208 191 159–213 273 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 163–210 191 149–213 260 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 150–213 188 111–241 253 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 146–220 188 113–266 254 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 140–223 188 89–266 255 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026193
Aug 2026192
Jul 2026177
Jun 2026178
May 2026193
Apr 2026194
Mar 2026197
Feb 2026194
Jan 2026189
Dec 2025201
Nov 2025198
Oct 2025210
Sept 2025246
Aug 2025255
Jul 2025271
Jun 2025276
May 2025284
Apr 2025281
Mar 2025278
Feb 2025276
Jan 2025247
Dec 2024270
Nov 2024263
Oct 2024282
Sept 2024301
Aug 2024304
Jul 2024294
Jun 2024265
May 2024263
Apr 2024264
Mar 2024257
Feb 2024242
Jan 2024249
Dec 2023239
Nov 2023244
Oct 2023243
Sept 2023245
Aug 2023263
Jul 2023256
Jun 2023257
May 2023257
Apr 2023257
Mar 2023257
Feb 2023257
Jan 2023257
Dec 2022247
Nov 2022243
Oct 2022264
Sept 2022281
Aug 2022300
Jul 2022287
Jun 2022281
May 2022285
Apr 2022297
Mar 2022277
Feb 2022235
Jan 2022235
Dec 2021235
Nov 2021219
Oct 2021207
Sept 2021197
Aug 2021217
Jul 2021208
Jun 2021197
May 2021189
Apr 2021182
Mar 2021181
Feb 2021170
Jan 2021166
Dec 2020154
Nov 2020162
Oct 2020159
Sept 2020150
Aug 2020155
Jul 2020123
Jun 2020139
May 2020146
Apr 2020133
Mar 2020133
Feb 2020137
Jan 2020122
Dec 2019122
Nov 2019129
Oct 2019145
Sept 2019149
Aug 2019139
Jul 2019156
Jun 2019151
May 2019171
Apr 2019171
Mar 2019171
Feb 2019171
Jan 2019177
Dec 2018172
Nov 2018168
Oct 2018167
Sept 2018178
Aug 2018187
Jul 2018187
Jun 2018196
May 2018192
Apr 2018195
Mar 2018203
Feb 2018182
Jan 2018177
Dec 2017178
Nov 2017178
Oct 2017176
Sept 2017188
Aug 2017194
Jul 2017180
Jun 2017180
May 2017180
Apr 2017180
Mar 2017167
Feb 2017164
Jan 2017164
Dec 2016164
Nov 2016164
Oct 2016167
Sept 2016192
Aug 2016192
Jul 2016183
Jun 2016183
May 2016183
Apr 2016183
Mar 2016175
Feb 2016167
Jan 2016167
Dec 2015150
Nov 2015150
Oct 2015171
Sept 2015154
Aug 2015167
Jul 2015153
Jun 2015150
May 2015147
Apr 2015150
Mar 2015150
Feb 2015157
Jan 2015150

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3403-67-retail-kg.