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Maize (white) in Rugombo

Cibitoke, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 14% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,421–2,451

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,344–2,596

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 19% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,421 and 2,451 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,344 and 2,596 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Rugombo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 19% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,421 and 2,451 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,344 and 2,596 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,234); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,333–1,989 1,694 1,247–2,322 2,189 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,397–2,190 1,852 1,235–2,826 2,533 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,421–2,451 1,877 1,208–3,332 2,688 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,424–2,537 1,900 1,194–3,737 2,780 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,344–2,596 1,795 1,063–4,234 2,320 –
Price history (129 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,758
Jul 20261,300
Jun 20261,475
May 20261,482
Apr 20261,388
Mar 20261,360
Feb 20261,549
Jan 20262,173
Dec 20252,237
Nov 20252,135
Oct 20252,324
Sept 20251,822
Aug 20251,700
Jul 20251,649
Jun 20251,696
May 20251,502
Apr 20251,535
Mar 20251,477
Feb 20251,524
Jan 20252,565
Dec 20243,158
Nov 20242,383
Oct 20242,223
Sept 20241,987
Aug 20241,818
Jul 20241,589
Jun 20241,610
May 20241,537
Apr 20241,570
Mar 20241,590
Feb 20241,787
Jan 20241,685
Dec 20231,967
Nov 20232,200
Oct 20232,297
Sept 20232,060
Aug 20231,844
Jul 20231,784
Jun 20231,664
May 20231,538
Apr 20231,481
Mar 20231,571
Feb 20231,322
Jan 20232,233
Dec 20222,239
Nov 20222,126
Oct 20222,206
Sept 20221,812
Aug 20221,650
May 20221,197
Apr 20221,150
Mar 2022870
Feb 2022888
Jan 20221,050
Oct 20211,200
Sept 20211,200
May 2021725
Apr 2021705
Mar 2021688
Feb 2021705
Jan 20211,025
Dec 20201,200
Nov 20201,200
Oct 20201,000
Sept 2020971
Aug 2020894
Jul 2020757
Jun 2020716
Mar 2020675
Feb 2020500
Jan 20201,375
Dec 20191,442
Oct 20191,364
Aug 2019949
Jul 20191,086
Jun 2019600
May 2019610
Mar 2019691
Feb 2019738
Jan 2019885
Dec 2018921
Nov 2018817
Oct 2018773
Sept 2018733
Aug 2018677
Jul 2018693
Jun 2018619
May 2018600
Apr 2018614
Mar 2018594
Feb 2018600
Jan 20181,021
Dec 20171,250
Nov 20171,460
Oct 20171,650
Sept 20171,183
Aug 20171,525
Jun 20171,137
May 20171,291
Apr 20171,182
Mar 20171,058
Feb 20171,159
Dec 20161,438
Nov 20161,388
Oct 20161,114
Sept 2016917
Aug 2016855
Jul 2016731
Jun 2016578
May 2016619
Apr 2016577
Mar 2016527
Feb 2016566
Jan 2016940
Dec 2015940
Nov 20151,009
Oct 2015736
Sept 2015648
Aug 2015576
Jul 2015511
Jun 2015411
May 2015505
Apr 2015405
Mar 2015328
Feb 2015402
Jan 2015479
Dec 2014798
Nov 2014654
Oct 2014733

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-1826-67-retail-kg.