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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Rugombo

Cibitoke, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,026–4,453

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,591–4,795

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 16% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,026 and 4,453 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,591 and 4,795 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Rugombo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 16% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,026 and 4,453 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,591 and 4,795 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,157); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,049–3,824 3,350 2,758–4,096 3,452 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,969–4,124 3,373 2,604–4,866 3,549 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,026–4,453 3,319 2,616–6,400 3,804 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,975–4,761 3,337 2,652–8,157 3,850 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,591–4,795 3,233 2,309–6,804 3,217 –
Price history (132 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,325
Jul 20263,200
Jun 20263,178
May 20263,944
Apr 20264,312
Mar 20263,700
Feb 20262,983
Jan 20262,655
Dec 20252,840
Nov 20253,010
Oct 20253,059
Sept 20252,922
Aug 20252,967
Jul 20252,964
Jun 20253,088
May 20253,192
Apr 20253,527
Mar 20253,044
Feb 20253,029
Jan 20252,735
Dec 20243,794
Nov 20243,515
Oct 20243,500
Sept 20243,267
Aug 20242,926
Jul 20242,633
Jun 20242,595
May 20242,614
Apr 20242,531
Mar 20242,461
Feb 20242,399
Jan 20242,018
Dec 20232,533
Nov 20232,900
Oct 20233,010
Sept 20232,940
Aug 20232,959
Jul 20232,704
Jun 20232,455
May 20232,797
Apr 20233,525
Mar 20233,559
Feb 20232,748
Jan 20232,467
Dec 20222,261
Nov 20222,168
Oct 20221,936
Sept 20221,692
Aug 20221,633
May 20221,973
Apr 20221,600
Mar 20221,242
Feb 20221,225
Jan 20221,100
Oct 20211,350
Sept 20211,325
May 20211,450
Apr 20211,421
Mar 20211,433
Feb 20211,350
Jan 20211,165
Dec 20201,622
Nov 20201,650
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,544
Aug 20201,509
Jul 20201,300
Jun 20201,200
Mar 20201,346
Feb 20201,212
Jan 20201,161
Dec 20191,254
Nov 20191,212
Oct 20191,258
Aug 20191,088
Jul 20191,206
Jun 20191,225
May 20191,270
Mar 20191,173
Feb 2019992
Jan 20191,135
Dec 20181,200
Nov 20181,173
Oct 20181,121
Sept 20181,060
Aug 2018969
Jul 2018984
Jun 2018975
May 20181,084
Apr 2018993
Mar 20181,088
Feb 20181,007
Jan 20181,021
Dec 20171,230
Nov 20171,314
Oct 20171,313
Sept 20171,200
Aug 20171,217
Jul 20171,457
Jun 20171,458
May 20171,150
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,477
Feb 20171,533
Jan 20171,608
Dec 20161,608
Nov 20161,305
Oct 20161,142
Sept 20161,171
Aug 20161,152
Jul 20161,036
Jun 2016947
May 20161,114
Apr 20161,210
Mar 20161,130
Feb 2016778
Jan 20161,080
Dec 20151,359
Nov 20151,035
Oct 2015967
Sept 2015885
Aug 2015867
Jul 2015818
Jun 2015983
May 20151,025
Apr 2015877
Mar 2015782
Feb 2015803
Jan 2015748
Dec 2014962
Nov 2014979
Oct 2014918

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-1826-829-retail-kg.