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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Musenyi

Bubanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,917–4,363

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,703–4,535

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 24% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,917 and 4,363 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,703 and 4,535 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Musenyi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 24% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,917 and 4,363 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,703 and 4,535 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,868); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,916–3,545 3,175 2,757–4,024 3,356 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,917–3,896 3,234 2,610–5,077 3,498 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,917–4,363 3,192 2,576–6,288 3,819 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,876–4,523 3,217 2,623–6,868 3,984 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,703–4,535 3,139 2,510–5,812 3,451 –
Price history (135 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20262,900
Aug 20263,090
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20263,128
May 20264,067
Apr 20263,508
Mar 20263,125
Feb 20263,148
Jan 20262,951
Dec 20253,042
Nov 20253,083
Oct 20252,913
Sept 20252,783
Aug 20252,556
Jul 20252,850
Jun 20252,608
May 20252,999
Apr 20253,308
Mar 20253,133
Feb 20253,081
Jan 20253,202
Dec 20243,542
Nov 20243,446
Oct 20243,375
Sept 20243,167
Aug 20243,065
Jul 20242,513
Jun 20242,275
May 20242,771
Apr 20242,833
Mar 20242,678
Feb 20242,625
Jan 20242,633
Dec 20233,050
Nov 20232,900
Oct 20233,019
Sept 20232,560
Aug 20232,290
Jul 20232,208
Jun 20233,133
May 20233,083
Apr 20233,350
Mar 20233,450
Feb 20232,967
Jan 20232,800
Dec 20222,267
Nov 20222,167
Oct 20221,819
Sept 20221,571
Aug 20221,433
Jul 20221,400
Jun 20221,700
May 20222,181
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,239
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,075
Oct 20211,300
Sept 20211,383
May 20211,725
Apr 20211,651
Mar 20211,433
Feb 20211,333
Jan 20211,200
Dec 20201,830
Nov 20201,723
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,486
Aug 20201,481
Jul 20201,189
Jun 20201,036
Mar 20201,346
Feb 20201,245
Jan 20201,129
Dec 20191,180
Nov 20191,141
Oct 20191,083
Aug 20191,112
Jul 20191,176
Jun 2019960
May 20191,183
Mar 20191,223
Feb 20191,161
Jan 20191,133
Dec 20181,231
Nov 20181,141
Oct 20181,160
Sept 20181,140
Aug 20181,071
Jul 20181,064
Jun 20181,059
May 20181,133
Apr 20181,105
Mar 20181,080
Feb 20181,038
Jan 2018964
Dec 20171,150
Nov 20171,240
Oct 20171,258
Sept 20171,111
Aug 20171,167
Jul 20171,144
Jun 2017967
May 20171,225
Apr 20171,425
Mar 20171,383
Feb 20171,389
Jan 20171,433
Dec 20161,433
Nov 20161,200
Oct 20161,092
Sept 2016984
Aug 20161,046
Jul 2016989
Jun 2016959
May 20161,117
Apr 20161,109
Mar 20161,075
Feb 2016933
Jan 2016980
Dec 20151,150
Nov 20151,109
Oct 20151,078
Sept 2015913
Aug 2015781
Jul 2015863
Jun 20151,018
May 2015974
Apr 2015871
Mar 2015850
Feb 2015850
Jan 2015883
Dec 20141,025
Nov 20141,080
Oct 20141,245

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-1827-829-retail-kg.