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Maize (white) in Gitega

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,371–2,318

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,323–2,402

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,371 and 2,318 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,323 and 2,402 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Gitega: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,371 and 2,318 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,323 and 2,402 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,300–1,747 1,487 1,184–2,367 1,952 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,318–2,080 1,556 1,168–3,191 2,078 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,371–2,318 1,663 1,181–3,152 2,344 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,374–2,420 1,701 1,158–3,080 2,455 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,323–2,402 1,658 1,144–2,855 2,311 –
Price history (179 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,450
Jun 20261,267
May 20261,367
Apr 20261,100
Mar 20261,228
Feb 20261,790
Dec 20251,950
Nov 20251,650
Oct 20251,751
Sept 20251,538
Jul 20251,485
Jun 20251,342
May 20251,238
Apr 20251,247
Mar 20251,388
Feb 20251,633
Jan 20252,382
Dec 20242,646
Nov 20242,462
Oct 20241,997
Sept 20241,800
Aug 20241,782
Jul 20241,383
Jun 20241,288
May 20241,210
Apr 20241,167
Mar 20241,375
Feb 20241,476
Jan 20242,008
Nov 20231,800
Oct 20231,762
Sept 20231,850
Aug 20231,783
Jul 20231,758
Jun 20231,580
May 20231,514
Apr 20231,516
Mar 20231,750
Feb 20231,788
Dec 20221,979
Nov 20222,000
Oct 20221,743
Sept 20221,488
Aug 20221,427
Jun 20221,000
May 20221,007
Apr 2022950
Mar 2022750
Feb 2022958
Jan 20221,130
Oct 20211,050
May 2021700
Apr 2021656
Mar 2021679
Feb 2021900
Jan 2021993
Dec 2020926
Nov 20201,000
Oct 2020795
Sept 2020762
Aug 2020694
Jul 2020632
Jun 2020606
Mar 2020562
Feb 2020562
Jan 20201,067
Dec 20191,225
Oct 2019990
Aug 2019800
Jul 2019900
Jun 2019567
May 2019455
Mar 2019379
Feb 2019635
Jan 2019735
Dec 2018740
Nov 2018655
Oct 2018492
Sept 2018471
Aug 2018463
Jul 2018458
Jun 2018438
May 2018420
Apr 2018698
Mar 2018522
Feb 2018629
Jan 2018873
Dec 2017950
Nov 2017992
Oct 20171,100
Sept 20171,029
Aug 2017960
Jul 20171,050
Jun 20171,100
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,013
Mar 2017828
Feb 20171,225
Jan 20171,230
Dec 20161,230
Nov 20161,100
Oct 20161,033
Sept 2016861
Aug 2016825
Jul 2016720
Jun 2016613
May 2016588
Apr 2016500
Mar 2016575
Feb 2016663
Jan 2016900
Dec 2015950
Nov 2015913
Oct 2015720
Sept 2015600
Aug 2015616
Jul 2015513
Jun 2015471
May 2015450
Apr 2015360
Mar 2015358
Feb 2015375
Jan 2015667
Dec 2014657
Nov 2014589
Oct 2014741
Sept 2014729
Aug 2014729
Jul 2014741
Jun 2014722
Apr 2014756
Mar 2014775
Feb 2014717
Jan 2014775
Nov 2013700
Oct 2013650
Aug 2013650
Jul 2013650
Jun 2013654
May 2013550
Apr 2013550
Mar 2013617
Feb 2013646
Jan 2013711
Dec 2012720
Nov 2012889
Oct 2012546
Sept 2012534
Aug 2012520
Jul 2012500
Jun 2012506
May 2012520
Apr 2012671
Mar 2012500
Feb 2012500
Jan 2012575
Dec 2011562
Nov 2011506
Oct 2011500
Sept 2011500
Aug 2011400
Jul 2011500
Jun 2011600
May 2011350
Apr 2011350
Mar 2011388
Feb 2011491
Jan 2011463
Jul 2010350
Jun 2010350
May 2010350
Apr 2010400
Mar 2010350
Feb 2010680
Jan 2010680
May 2009400
Apr 2009400
Mar 2009360
Feb 2009375

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-202-67-retail-kg.