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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gitega

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 7% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,568–3,984

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,435–4,306

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,568 and 3,984 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,435 and 4,306 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gitega: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,568 and 3,984 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,435 and 4,306 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,433); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,543–3,218 2,771 2,276–3,714 3,171 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,565–3,649 2,858 2,129–4,329 3,286 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,568–3,984 2,844 2,081–4,078 3,458 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,529–4,263 2,903 2,102–5,433 3,581 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,435–4,306 2,825 2,190–4,603 3,229 –
Price history (250 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,600
Jun 20262,433
May 20264,250
Apr 20264,000
Mar 20263,103
Feb 20262,638
Dec 20252,250
Nov 20252,467
Oct 20252,522
Sept 20252,338
Jul 20252,435
Jun 20252,175
May 20252,414
Apr 20252,867
Mar 20253,210
Feb 20253,067
Jan 20253,097
Dec 20243,465
Nov 20243,150
Oct 20242,976
Sept 20242,775
Aug 20242,582
Jul 20242,233
Jun 20242,338
May 20242,386
Apr 20242,933
Mar 20242,543
Feb 20242,602
Jan 20242,708
Nov 20232,400
Oct 20232,706
Sept 20232,565
Aug 20232,417
Jul 20232,233
Jun 20231,968
May 20232,638
Apr 20233,492
Mar 20233,283
Feb 20233,075
Dec 20222,100
Nov 20222,059
Oct 20221,683
Sept 20221,475
Aug 20221,276
Jun 20221,150
May 20221,339
Apr 20221,567
Mar 20221,025
Feb 2022973
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,050
May 20211,250
Apr 20211,350
Mar 20211,424
Feb 20211,350
Jan 20211,116
Dec 20201,362
Nov 20201,550
Oct 20201,461
Sept 20201,350
Aug 20201,257
Jul 20201,103
Jun 2020981
Mar 20201,300
Feb 20201,150
Jan 20201,050
Dec 20191,150
Nov 20191,042
Oct 2019998
Aug 2019850
Jul 20191,067
Jun 2019700
May 20191,025
Mar 20191,095
Feb 20191,000
Jan 20191,082
Dec 20181,217
Nov 20181,049
Oct 2018994
Sept 2018950
Aug 2018846
Jul 2018825
Jun 2018807
May 2018979
Apr 2018900
Mar 2018731
Feb 2018779
Jan 2018823
Dec 2017967
Nov 20171,054
Oct 20171,120
Sept 20171,003
Aug 2017940
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017750
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,323
Mar 20171,384
Feb 20171,383
Jan 20171,440
Dec 20161,440
Nov 20161,100
Oct 20161,355
Sept 2016900
Aug 2016871
Jul 2016830
Jun 2016725
May 2016800
Apr 20161,054
Mar 20161,108
Feb 20161,067
Jan 20161,067
Dec 20151,225
Nov 20151,009
Oct 2015847
Sept 2015744
Aug 2015763
Jul 2015694
Jun 2015750
May 2015894
Apr 2015967
Mar 2015817
Feb 2015692
Jan 2015846
Dec 2014923
Nov 2014911
Oct 2014850
Sept 2014856
Aug 2014856
Jul 2014833
Jun 2014814
Apr 20141,225
Mar 20141,225
Feb 20141,083
Jan 20141,145
Nov 20131,200
Oct 20131,000
Aug 2013800
Jul 2013800
Jun 2013817
May 2013950
Apr 20131,000
Mar 20131,000
Feb 20131,050
Jan 2013924
Dec 2012950
Nov 2012950
Oct 2012774
Sept 2012733
Aug 2012684
Jul 2012600
Jun 2012600
May 2012875
Apr 2012989
Mar 2012800
Feb 2012800
Jan 2012794
Dec 2011712
Nov 2011700
Oct 2011700
Sept 2011700
Aug 2011800
Jul 2011800
Jun 2011700
May 2011800
Apr 2011800
Mar 2011763
Feb 2011800
Jan 2011817
Jul 2010700
Jun 2010700
May 2010700
Apr 2010750
Mar 2010811
Feb 2010793
Jan 2010800
Sept 2009700
Aug 2009600
Jul 2009500
Jun 2009475
May 2009500
Apr 2009550
Mar 2009650
Feb 2009650
Jan 2009650
May 2008862
Apr 2008820
Mar 2008850
Feb 2008750
Jan 2008725
Dec 2007775
Nov 2007800
Oct 2007725
Sept 2007625
Aug 2007500
Jul 2007450
Jun 2007450
May 2007500
Apr 2007550
Mar 2007550
Feb 2007750
Jan 2007535
Dec 2006550
Nov 2006450
Oct 2006425
Sept 2006375
Aug 2006350
Jul 2006350
Jun 2006350
May 2006475
Apr 2006500
Mar 2006525
Feb 2006500
Jan 2006450
Dec 2005450
Nov 2005450
Oct 2005450
Sept 2005400
Aug 2005425
Jul 2005350
Jun 2005363
May 2005425
Apr 2005450
Mar 2005450
Feb 2005450
Jan 2005475
Dec 2004475
Nov 2004385
Oct 2004300
Sept 2004310
Aug 2004280
Jul 2004240
Jun 2004235
May 2004275
Apr 2004335
Mar 2004240
Feb 2004220
Jan 2004235
Dec 2003220
Nov 2003240
Oct 2003215
Sept 2003200
Aug 2003205
Jul 2003200
Jun 2003180
May 2003235
Apr 2003250
Mar 2003250
Feb 2003290
Jan 2003360

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-202-829-retail-kg.