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Food basket in Gitega

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

23,983–35,627

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

23,805–38,256

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 25,545 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 23,983 and 35,627 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 23,805 and 38,256 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Gitega: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 25,545 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 23,983 and 35,627 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 23,805 and 38,256 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.010,00020,00030,00040,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 48,889); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 24,022–29,381 26,372 22,755–32,995
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 23,851–31,818 26,666 22,255–37,899
Nov 2026
Next month		 23,983–35,627 27,793 22,340–42,155
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 23,820–37,405 27,977 22,299–47,578
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 23,805–38,256 28,424 22,205–48,889
Cost history (83 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202625,545
Jun 202628,820
May 202632,235
Apr 202632,265
Mar 202629,997
Feb 202628,928
Dec 202522,942
Nov 202525,370
Oct 202525,915
Sept 202525,648
Jul 202529,298
Jun 202529,716
May 202529,856
Apr 202531,503
Mar 202530,018
Feb 202526,553
Jan 202523,127
Dec 202428,391
Nov 202426,898
Oct 202427,655
Sept 202426,266
Aug 202424,993
Jul 202424,917
Jun 202425,794
May 202425,651
Apr 202429,305
Mar 202429,044
Feb 202427,749
Jan 202429,001
Nov 202327,873
Oct 202327,552
Sept 202326,950
Aug 202327,589
Jul 202327,195
Jun 202325,393
May 202328,933
Apr 202332,360
Mar 202333,133
Feb 202329,514
Dec 202223,066
Nov 202221,694
Oct 202218,762
Sept 202216,559
Aug 202221,375
Jun 202217,451
May 202217,547
Apr 202217,419
Mar 202215,591
Feb 202215,743
Jan 202215,655
Oct 202113,088
May 202113,610
Apr 202115,913
Mar 202115,114
Feb 202114,309
Jan 202113,585
Dec 202013,635
Nov 202013,770
Oct 202010,845
Sept 202011,011
Aug 202010,557
Jul 202011,258
Jun 202010,907
Mar 202011,574
Feb 202010,788
Jan 202010,562
Dec 20199,668
Oct 20197,831
Aug 20198,055
Jul 20198,400
Jun 20198,985
May 20199,424
Mar 20199,649
Feb 20199,724
Jan 20199,592
Dec 201810,399
Nov 20189,584
Oct 20188,613
Sept 20188,967
Aug 201810,056
Jul 201810,523
Jun 201811,599
May 201812,603

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620