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Maize (white) in Kirundo

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 7% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,565–2,693

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,360–2,718

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 24% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,565 and 2,693 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,360 and 2,718 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kirundo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 24% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,565 and 2,693 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,360 and 2,718 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,916); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,488–1,996 1,746 1,361–2,528 2,191 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,539–2,303 1,879 1,360–3,512 2,400 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,565–2,693 1,921 1,342–5,076 2,639 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,566–2,814 1,962 1,326–6,167 2,669 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,360–2,718 1,570 1,182–7,916 2,231 –
Price history (173 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,758
Jun 20261,511
May 20261,412
Apr 20261,500
Mar 20261,467
Feb 20261,523
Jan 20262,200
Dec 20252,035
Nov 20252,100
Oct 20251,700
Sept 20251,730
Aug 20251,933
Jul 20252,000
Jun 20251,633
May 20251,275
Apr 20251,481
Mar 20251,362
Feb 20251,479
Jan 20252,496
Dec 20242,925
Nov 20242,185
Oct 20242,050
Sept 20241,790
Aug 20241,542
Jul 20241,500
Jun 20241,494
May 20241,333
Apr 20241,200
Mar 20241,335
Feb 20241,268
Jan 20241,725
Nov 20232,100
Oct 20232,450
Sept 20232,100
Aug 20231,600
Jul 20231,650
Jun 20231,506
May 20231,524
Apr 20231,747
Mar 20231,699
Feb 20231,473
Dec 20221,768
Nov 20222,047
Oct 20221,581
Sept 20221,401
Aug 20221,167
Jul 20221,125
Jun 20221,064
May 2022997
Apr 2022927
Mar 2022850
Feb 2022788
Jan 2022950
Oct 20211,067
May 2021717
Apr 2021719
Mar 2021792
Feb 2021883
Jan 2021850
Dec 20201,130
Nov 20201,107
Sept 2020896
Aug 2020821
Jul 2020726
Jun 2020617
Mar 2020711
Feb 2020700
Jan 20201,100
Dec 20191,150
Oct 2019983
Aug 2019638
Jul 2019721
Jun 2019600
May 2019542
Mar 2019504
Feb 2019654
Jan 2019724
Dec 2018696
Nov 2018629
Oct 2018554
Sept 2018514
Aug 2018488
Jul 2018513
Jun 2018523
May 2018520
Apr 2018482
Mar 2018508
Feb 2018593
Jan 2018868
Dec 2017967
Nov 20171,080
Oct 20171,159
Sept 20171,036
Aug 20171,167
Jul 2017700
Jun 2017800
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,200
Mar 20171,200
Dec 20161,200
Nov 20161,084
Oct 2016989
Sept 2016833
Aug 2016800
Jul 2016633
Jun 2016625
May 2016650
Apr 2016764
Mar 2016721
Feb 2016800
Jan 2016811
Dec 2015867
Nov 2015800
Oct 2015589
Sept 2015531
Aug 2015500
Jul 2015500
Jun 2015500
May 2015500
Apr 2015450
Mar 2015417
Feb 2015400Break
Jan 20151
Dec 2014763
Nov 2014650
Oct 2014807
Sept 2014721
Aug 2014721
Jul 2014690
Jun 2014691
Apr 2014673
Mar 2014684
Feb 2014716
Jan 2014751
Nov 2013650
Oct 2013700
Sept 2013650
Aug 2013650
Jul 2013600
Jun 2013600
May 2013600
Apr 2013619
Mar 2013625
Feb 2013700
Jan 2013650
Dec 2012650
Nov 2012625
Oct 2012600
Sept 2012600
Aug 2012600
Jul 2012656
Jun 2012647
May 2012674
Apr 2012650
Mar 2012600
Feb 2012600
Jan 2012570
Dec 2011500
Nov 2011500
Oct 2011500
Sept 2011500
Aug 2011592
Jul 2011500
Mar 2011400
Feb 2011400
Jan 2011400
Apr 2010400
Mar 2010720
Feb 2010700
Jan 2010663
May 2009340
Mar 2009285
Feb 2009250

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-203-67-retail-kg.