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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kirundo

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,579–4,110

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,038–4,119

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,579 and 4,110 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,038 and 4,119 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kirundo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,579 and 4,110 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,038 and 4,119 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,230); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,564–3,257 2,777 2,306–3,926 3,134 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,540–3,628 2,877 2,224–3,999 3,160 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,579–4,110 2,855 2,149–4,854 3,343 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,525–4,269 2,835 2,128–5,922 3,315 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,038–4,119 2,590 2,002–7,230 2,599 –
Price history (251 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,717
Jun 20262,733
May 20263,949
Apr 20265,250
Mar 20262,904
Feb 20262,597
Jan 20262,394
Dec 20252,280
Nov 20252,020
Oct 20252,308
Sept 20252,348
Aug 20252,367
Jul 20252,500
Jun 20252,366
May 20252,262
Apr 20252,292
Mar 20252,617
Feb 20252,500
Jan 20252,475
Dec 20243,473
Nov 20242,938
Oct 20242,850
Sept 20242,643
Aug 20242,469
Jul 20242,000
Jun 20242,113
May 20242,121
Apr 20242,200
Mar 20242,210
Feb 20242,021
Jan 20241,700
Dec 20231,850
Nov 20232,400
Oct 20232,681
Sept 20232,498
Aug 20232,300
Jul 20232,022
Jun 20231,721
May 20232,359
Apr 20233,252
Mar 20233,143
Feb 20232,981
Dec 20221,958
Nov 20222,044
Oct 20221,690
Sept 20221,465
Aug 20221,271
Jul 20221,200
Jun 20221,039
May 20221,398
Apr 20221,619
Mar 20221,033
Feb 2022975
Jan 2022900
Oct 20211,033
May 2021833
Apr 2021967
Mar 20211,200
Feb 20211,200
Jan 20211,038
Dec 20201,329
Nov 20201,459
Sept 20201,335
Aug 20201,300
Jul 20201,189
Jun 20201,017
Mar 20201,217
Feb 20201,033
Jan 2020883
Dec 20191,050
Nov 20191,029
Oct 20191,050
Aug 2019931
Jul 20191,027
Jun 2019800
May 20191,000
Mar 2019963
Feb 2019966
Jan 2019785
Dec 20181,114
Nov 2018979
Oct 2018939
Sept 2018899
Aug 2018814
Jul 2018795
Jun 2018754
May 2018763
Apr 2018619
Mar 2018621
Feb 2018707
Jan 2018650
Dec 2017975
Nov 20171,067
Oct 20171,106
Sept 2017980
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017845
May 2017936
Apr 20171,317
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,150
Jan 20171,167
Dec 20161,167
Nov 20161,200
Oct 20161,126
Sept 2016956
Aug 2016950
Jul 2016880
Jun 2016663
May 2016775
Apr 2016974
Mar 20161,017
Feb 2016988
Jan 2016757
Dec 20151,217
Nov 20151,096
Oct 2015868
Sept 2015754
Aug 2015706
Jul 2015594
Jun 2015625
May 2015813
Apr 2015725
Mar 2015663
Feb 2015579
Jan 2015525
Dec 2014614
Nov 2014771
Oct 2014743
Sept 2014780
Aug 2014679
Jul 2014660
Jun 2014663
Apr 2014920
Mar 2014886
Feb 2014760
Jan 2014743
Nov 20131,100
Oct 20131,000
Sept 2013900
Aug 2013800
Jul 2013650
Jun 2013725
May 20131,100
Apr 2013900
Mar 2013908
Feb 2013800
Jan 2013800
Dec 2012840
Nov 2012813
Oct 2012681
Sept 2012650
Aug 2012600
Jul 2012521
Jun 2012539
May 2012778
Apr 2012850
Mar 2012700
Feb 2012450
Jan 2012512
Dec 2011550
Nov 2011533
Oct 2011600
Sept 2011600
Aug 2011643
Jul 2011650
Mar 2011666
Feb 2011675
Jan 2011550
Dec 2010746
Nov 2010720
Oct 2010700
Sept 2010624
Aug 2010570
Jul 2010545
Jun 2010457
May 2010400
Apr 2010475
Mar 2010820
Feb 2010780
Jan 2010800
May 2009400
Apr 2009500
Mar 2009500
Feb 2009450
May 2008620
Apr 2008600
Mar 2008600
Feb 2008600
Jan 2008565
Dec 2007750
Nov 2007775
Oct 2007750
Sept 2007500
Aug 2007600
Jul 2007700
Jun 2007600
May 2007420
Apr 2007450
Mar 2007450
Feb 2007420
Jan 2007400
Dec 2006470
Nov 2006450
Oct 2006375
Sept 2006350
Aug 2006350
Jul 2006300
Jun 2006300
May 2006250
Apr 2006450
Mar 2006458
Feb 2006390
Jan 2006350
Dec 2005350
Nov 2005400
Oct 2005450
Sept 2005450
Aug 2005350
Jul 2005330
Jun 2005288
May 2005300
Apr 2005410
Mar 2005360
Feb 2005325
Jan 2005300
Dec 2004425
Nov 2004410
Oct 2004350
Sept 2004300
Aug 2004225
Jul 2004225
Jun 2004225
May 2004220
Apr 2004275
Mar 2004200
Feb 2004190
Jan 2004190
Dec 2003220
Nov 2003210
Oct 2003200
Sept 2003175
Aug 2003165
Jul 2003150
Jun 2003140
May 2003140
Apr 2003160
Mar 2003175
Feb 2003190
Jan 2003300

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-203-829-retail-kg.