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Food basket in Kirundo

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

26,339–37,942

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

25,845–43,426

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 31,175 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,339 and 37,942 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,845 and 43,426 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Kirundo: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 31,175 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,339 and 37,942 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,845 and 43,426 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 62,788); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 27,438–33,168 30,177 25,869–36,043
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 26,484–34,811 30,202 23,821–42,631
Nov 2026
Next month		 26,339–37,942 30,265 24,012–47,585
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 26,254–40,340 30,841 24,499–52,215
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 25,845–43,426 30,549 23,929–62,788
Cost history (86 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202631,175
Jun 202633,763
May 202634,577
Apr 202639,350
Mar 202632,359
Feb 202631,234
Jan 202627,528
Dec 202525,812
Nov 202526,981
Oct 202526,532
Sept 202525,964
Aug 202532,930
Jul 202530,780
Jun 202534,804
May 202531,952
Apr 202533,826
Mar 202527,614
Feb 202524,175
Jan 202525,109
Dec 202426,349
Nov 202424,667
Oct 202423,670
Sept 202421,649
Aug 202423,330
Jul 202426,085
Jun 202429,517
May 202430,985
Apr 202429,700
Mar 202429,298
Feb 202429,378
Jan 202430,600
Dec 202329,156
Nov 202328,460
Oct 202327,082
Sept 202330,461
Aug 202327,652
Jul 202329,255
Jun 202329,023
May 202331,199
Apr 202333,547
Mar 202330,989
Feb 202327,447
Dec 202220,701
Nov 202221,135
Oct 202218,919
Sept 202218,048
Aug 202217,657
Jul 202218,279
Jun 202219,779
May 202219,849
Apr 202220,234
Mar 202217,590
Feb 202217,756
Jan 202217,065
Oct 202113,282
May 202116,324
Apr 202115,584
Mar 202115,800
Feb 202115,862
Jan 202114,765
Dec 202014,727
Nov 202015,201
Sept 202013,296
Aug 202013,696
Jul 202013,323
Jun 202013,589
Mar 202012,921
Feb 202011,624
Jan 202010,031
Dec 201910,608
Oct 20198,919
Aug 20199,551
Jul 20199,928
Jun 201910,538
May 201910,286
Mar 20199,652
Feb 20199,598
Jan 20198,972
Dec 20189,456
Nov 20189,665
Oct 20188,531
Sept 20188,920
Aug 201810,591
Jul 201811,806
Jun 201812,330
May 201813,039

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620