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Maize (white) in Muyinga

Muyinga, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,308–2,328

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,263–2,555

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,308 and 2,328 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,263 and 2,555 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Muyinga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,308 and 2,328 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,263 and 2,555 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,037); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,275–1,744 1,470 1,163–2,135 1,954 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,242–1,975 1,505 1,111–2,868 1,959 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,308–2,328 1,562 1,163–4,347 2,184 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,330–2,489 1,672 1,145–4,803 2,414 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,263–2,555 1,578 1,164–5,037 2,159 –
Price history (152 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,333
Jun 20261,292
May 20261,546
Apr 20261,425
Mar 20261,533
Feb 20261,867
Jan 20261,907
Dec 20251,796
Nov 20251,838
Oct 20251,833
Sept 20251,689
Aug 20251,650
Jul 20251,546
Jun 20251,511
May 20251,417
Apr 20251,400
Mar 20251,544
Feb 20251,906
Jan 20252,242
Dec 20242,278
Nov 20242,257
Oct 20241,806
Sept 20241,841
Aug 20241,704
Jul 20241,526
Jun 20241,183
May 20241,300
Apr 20241,350
Mar 20241,517
Feb 20241,522
Jan 20242,000
Dec 20232,100
Nov 20231,850
Oct 20231,967
Sept 20232,153
Aug 20231,858
Jul 20231,806
Jun 20231,669
May 20231,460
Apr 20231,452
Mar 20231,896
Feb 20232,025
Dec 20222,000
Nov 20222,061
Oct 20221,571
Sept 20221,325
Aug 20221,150
May 2022794
Apr 2022750
Mar 2022690
Feb 2022680
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,050
May 2021680
Apr 2021680
Mar 2021680
Feb 2021800
Jan 2021838
Dec 20201,000
Nov 2020725
Oct 2020632
Sept 2020724
Aug 2020762
Jul 2020742
Jun 2020625
Mar 2020633
Feb 2020750
Jan 20201,138
Dec 20191,200
Oct 2019956
Aug 2019583
Jul 2019900
Jun 2019600
May 2019550
Mar 2019650
Feb 2019617
Jan 2019670
Dec 2018608
Nov 2018612
Oct 2018567
Sept 2018533
Aug 2018542
Jul 2018550
Jun 2018507
May 2018467
Feb 2018600
Aug 20171,150
Jul 20171,250
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,096
Mar 20171,867
Feb 2017900
Jan 20171,100
Dec 20161,300
Nov 2016989
Oct 2016970
Sept 2016928
Aug 20161,000
Jul 2016967
Jun 2016905
May 2016796
Apr 2016679
Mar 20161,010
Feb 2016933
Jan 2016938
Dec 2015820
Nov 2015667
Oct 2015575
Sept 2015500
Aug 2015500
Jul 2015400
Jun 2015400
May 2015400
Apr 2015400
Mar 2015354
Feb 2015488
Jan 2015600
Dec 2014662
Nov 2014700
Oct 2014793
Sept 2014755
Aug 2014755
Jul 2014767
Jun 2014750
Apr 2014740
Mar 2014717
Feb 2014650
Jan 2014660
Nov 2013550
Oct 2013480
Aug 2013600
Jul 2013550
Jun 2013600
May 2013500
Apr 2013712
Mar 2013800
Feb 2013856
Jan 2013840
Dec 2012843
Nov 2012814
Oct 2012697
Sept 2012657
Aug 2012633
Jul 2012625
Jun 2012685
May 2012700
Apr 2012793
Jul 2010400
Mar 2010500
Feb 2010474
Jan 2010470

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-204-67-retail-kg.