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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Muyinga

Muyinga, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 6% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,648–4,068

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,428–4,192

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,648 and 4,068 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,428 and 4,192 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Muyinga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,648 and 4,068 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,428 and 4,192 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,603–3,352 2,859 2,389–4,167 3,278 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,583–3,619 2,911 2,242–4,661 3,177 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,648–4,068 2,951 2,264–4,360 3,561 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,624–4,285 2,968 2,302–5,404 3,648 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,428–4,192 2,865 2,292–4,200 3,151 –
Price history (218 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,729
Jun 20262,625
May 20264,064
Apr 20264,458
Mar 20262,917
Feb 20262,583
Jan 20262,570
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,438
Oct 20252,500
Sept 20252,433
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,500
Jun 20252,500
May 20252,500
Apr 20252,875
Mar 20253,139
Feb 20252,768
Jan 20252,934
Dec 20243,556
Nov 20243,269
Oct 20242,922
Sept 20242,853
Aug 20242,562
Jul 20242,333
Jun 20242,383
May 20242,250
Apr 20242,650
Mar 20242,500
Feb 20242,478
Jan 20242,500
Dec 20232,750
Nov 20232,445
Oct 20232,641
Sept 20232,543
Aug 20232,318
Jul 20232,173
Jun 20231,978
May 20232,717
Apr 20233,396
Mar 20233,044
Feb 20232,562
Dec 20221,978
Nov 20221,987
Oct 20221,653
Sept 20221,500
Aug 20221,350
May 20221,600
Apr 20221,600
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,000
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,050
May 2021800
Apr 20211,033
Mar 20211,300
Feb 20211,300
Jan 20211,275
Dec 20201,300
Nov 20201,500
Oct 20201,400
Sept 20201,235
Aug 20201,297
Jul 20201,060
Jun 20201,000
Mar 20201,200
Feb 20201,100
Jan 20201,033
Dec 20191,125
Nov 20191,100
Oct 20191,004
Aug 2019900
Jul 20191,000
Jun 2019700
May 20191,100
Mar 20191,000
Feb 20191,075
Jan 2019930
Dec 20181,217
Nov 20181,017
Oct 2018933
Sept 2018908
Aug 2018825
Jul 2018800
Jun 2018814
May 2018833
Feb 2018800
Aug 2017911
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017750
May 20171,044
Apr 20171,188
Mar 20171,467
Feb 20171,271
Jan 20171,000
Dec 20161,000
Nov 20161,092
Oct 20161,002
Sept 20161,028
Aug 2016967
Jul 2016967
Jun 2016878
May 20161,078
Apr 20161,242
Mar 20161,253
Feb 2016938
Jan 2016929
Dec 20151,207
Nov 2015967
Oct 2015867
Sept 2015838
Aug 2015850
Jul 2015738
Jun 2015588
May 2015854
Apr 2015750
Mar 2015658
Feb 2015600
Jan 2015692
Dec 2014741
Nov 2014800
Oct 2014736
Sept 2014800
Aug 2014667
Jul 2014648
Jun 2014632
Apr 2014900
Mar 2014921
Feb 2014887
Jan 2014850
Nov 20131,200
Oct 20131,100
Aug 2013900
Jul 2013800
Jun 2013650
May 20131,100
Apr 20131,000
Mar 2013937
Feb 2013950
Jan 2013675
Dec 2012924
Nov 2012797
Oct 2012750
Sept 2012640
Aug 2012643
Jul 2012580
Jun 2012712
May 2012848
Apr 2012864
Jul 2010500
Mar 2010800
Feb 2010780
Jan 2010781
Apr 2009500
Feb 2009400
May 2008630
Apr 2008610
Mar 2008600
Feb 2008575
Jan 2008588
Dec 2007700
Nov 2007962
Oct 2007688
Sept 2007500
Aug 2007520
Jul 2007450
Jun 2007350
May 2007400
Apr 2007410
Mar 2007410
Feb 2007430
Jan 2007400
Dec 2006520
Nov 2006400
Oct 2006400
Sept 2006363
Aug 2006300
Jul 2006300
Jun 2006300
May 2006380
Apr 2006467
Jan 2006380
Dec 2005355
Nov 2005340
Oct 2005350
Sept 2005350
Aug 2005350
Jul 2005325
Jun 2005280
May 2005280
Apr 2005355
Mar 2005325
Feb 2005300
Jan 2005325
Dec 2004440
Nov 2004365
Oct 2004300
Sept 2004290
Aug 2004280
Jul 2004210
Jun 2004200
May 2004240
Apr 2004250
Mar 2004200
Feb 2004145
Jan 2004200
Dec 2003210
Nov 2003180
Oct 2003190
Sept 2003160
Aug 2003175
Jul 2003160
Jun 2003155
May 2003175
Apr 2003170
Mar 2003180
Feb 2003180
Jan 2003260

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-204-829-retail-kg.