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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Ruyigi

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 9% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,639–4,164

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,555–4,474

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,639 and 4,164 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,555 and 4,474 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Ruyigi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,639 and 4,164 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,555 and 4,474 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,608–3,380 2,855 2,342–4,302 3,262 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,623–3,766 2,967 2,205–4,566 3,492 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,639–4,164 2,962 2,246–4,842 3,703 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,670–4,336 3,081 2,226–4,960 3,984 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,555–4,474 3,005 2,356–5,147 3,544 –
Price history (228 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,717
Jun 20262,594
May 20264,431
Apr 20264,233
Mar 20262,802
Feb 20262,650
Jan 20262,525
Dec 20252,545
Nov 20252,227
Oct 20252,458
Sept 20252,728
Aug 20252,517
Jul 20252,585
Jun 20252,459
May 20252,663
Apr 20252,855
Mar 20253,221
Feb 20253,219
Jan 20253,319
Dec 20243,713
Nov 20243,191
Oct 20243,055
Sept 20242,918
Aug 20242,826
Jul 20242,467
Jun 20242,153
May 20242,583
Apr 20242,800
Mar 20242,819
Feb 20242,724
Jan 20242,326
Dec 20232,600
Nov 20232,425
Oct 20232,754
Sept 20232,581
Aug 20232,621
Jul 20232,483
Jun 20232,000
May 20232,802
Apr 20233,407
Mar 20233,486
Feb 20233,202
Jan 20233,200
Dec 20222,464
Nov 20222,458
Oct 20221,669
Sept 20221,419
Aug 20221,354
May 20221,520
Apr 20221,567
Mar 20221,250
Feb 20221,036
Jan 20221,088
Mar 20211,400
Feb 20211,400
Jan 20211,320
Dec 20201,600
Nov 20201,650
Sept 20201,200
Aug 20201,333
Jul 20201,029
Jun 2020922
Mar 20201,392
Feb 20201,050
Jan 2020983
Dec 20191,125
Nov 20191,057
Oct 2019992
Aug 2019897
Jul 20191,000
Jun 2019725
May 20191,025
Mar 20191,107
Feb 2019993
Jan 20191,103
Dec 20181,312
Nov 20181,139
Oct 20181,052
Sept 2018989
Aug 2018888
Jul 2018878
Jun 2018879
May 2018938
Apr 2018921
Mar 2018825
Feb 2018792
Jan 2018977
Dec 20171,085
Nov 20171,180
Oct 20171,240
Sept 2017984
Aug 2017938
Jul 2017925
Jun 2017900
May 2017953
Apr 20171,167
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,392
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,495
Nov 20161,210
Oct 20161,052
Sept 2016921
Aug 2016946
Jul 2016796
Jun 2016660
May 2016817
Apr 20161,015
Mar 20161,047
Feb 2016992
Jan 2016908
Dec 20151,142
Nov 2015892
Oct 2015771
Sept 2015649
Aug 2015621
Jul 2015547
Jun 2015575
May 2015767
Apr 2015725
Mar 2015658
Feb 2015679
Jan 2015825
Dec 2014803
Nov 2014845
Oct 2014784
Sept 2014750
Aug 2014723
Jul 2014700
Jun 2014706
Apr 2014959
Mar 2014943
Feb 2014862
Jan 20141,056
Nov 2013950
Oct 2013950
Sept 2013900
Aug 2013800
Jul 2013750
Jun 2013724
May 20131,200
Apr 20131,050
Mar 20131,023
Feb 2013919
Jan 2013850
Dec 2012920
Nov 2012818
Oct 2012767
Sept 2012745
Aug 2012700
Jul 2012600
Jun 2012550
May 2012600
Apr 20121,000
Jun 2010600
May 2010644
Apr 2010750
Mar 2010750
Feb 2010750
May 2009450
Apr 2009575
Mar 2009546
Feb 2009540
May 2008649
Apr 2008640
Mar 2008638
Feb 2008763
Jan 2008760
Dec 2007744
Nov 2007744
Oct 2007650
Sept 2007558
Aug 2007514
Jul 2007429
Jun 2007411
May 2007450
Apr 2007500
Mar 2007570
Feb 2007570
Jan 2007460
Dec 2006434
Nov 2006410
Oct 2006370
Sept 2006320
Aug 2006305
Jul 2006270
Jun 2006255
May 2006380
Apr 2006455
Mar 2006490
Feb 2006484
Jan 2006480
Dec 2005477
Nov 2005443
Oct 2005405
Sept 2005380
Aug 2005374
Jul 2005357
Jun 2005285
May 2005400
Apr 2005463
Mar 2005443
Feb 2005475
Jan 2005350
Dec 2004650Data error
Nov 2004300
Oct 2004270
Sept 2004280
Aug 2004300
Jul 2004135
Jun 2004200
May 2004215
Apr 2004240
Mar 2004180
Feb 2004125
Jan 2004190
Dec 2003180
Nov 2003180
Oct 2003180
Sept 2003180
Aug 2003185
Jul 2003180
Jun 2003120
May 2003165
Apr 2003190
Mar 2003160
Feb 2003190
Jan 2003325

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-205-829-retail-kg.