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Food basket in Ruyigi

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

26,396–36,445

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

27,261–42,609

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 28,985 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,396 and 36,445 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 27,261 and 42,609 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Ruyigi: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 28,985 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,396 and 36,445 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 27,261 and 42,609 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 58,529); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 26,904–32,177 29,501 25,131–33,814
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 26,745–34,254 30,020 24,825–36,529
Nov 2026
Next month		 26,396–36,445 30,367 24,606–41,628
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 26,383–38,600 30,898 24,379–48,997
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 27,261–42,609 31,701 25,437–58,529
Cost history (80 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202628,985
Jun 202629,110
May 202634,705
Apr 202634,230
Mar 202636,292
Feb 202629,930
Jan 202628,426
Dec 202528,791
Nov 202526,715
Oct 202529,612
Sept 202530,372
Aug 202530,550
Jul 202530,210
Jun 202529,348
May 202530,163
Apr 202531,129
Mar 202531,958
Feb 202529,815
Jan 202529,282
Dec 202429,217
Nov 202427,799
Oct 202435,212
Sept 202427,530
Aug 202428,486
Jul 202428,965
Jun 202429,020
May 202428,853
Apr 202430,265
Mar 202429,995
Feb 202430,982
Jan 202432,100
Dec 202332,475
Nov 202331,012
Oct 202331,475
Sept 202331,341
Aug 202331,206
Jul 202330,261
Jun 202329,930
May 202331,039
Apr 202333,136
Mar 202334,297
Feb 202330,693
Jan 202329,727
Dec 202224,758
Nov 202223,750
Oct 202219,482
Sept 202218,412
Aug 202219,032
May 202218,261
Apr 202218,210
Mar 202217,310
Feb 202216,625
Jan 202216,718
Mar 202114,190
Feb 202116,245
Jan 202115,886
Dec 202014,641
Nov 202013,902
Sept 202011,292
Aug 202011,532
Jul 202011,042
Jun 202010,899
Mar 202010,911
Feb 202011,622
Dec 201910,407
Aug 20199,319
Jul 20199,468
Jun 20199,075
May 201910,722
Mar 20199,779
Feb 201910,149
Jan 201910,002
Dec 201810,063
Nov 20189,551
Oct 20189,403
Sept 20189,644
Aug 201810,500
Jul 201811,136
Jun 201811,922
May 201811,509

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620