Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Beans (haricot, yellow) in Ngozi

Ngozi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,726–4,129

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,578–4,749

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,726 and 4,129 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,578 and 4,749 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Ngozi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,726 and 4,129 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,578 and 4,749 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,084); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,733–3,352 2,939 2,439–4,024 3,342 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,716–3,690 2,993 2,344–4,365 3,382 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,726–4,129 2,961 2,315–5,076 3,586 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,709–4,342 3,024 2,291–6,265 3,750 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,578–4,749 2,937 2,221–8,084 3,352 –
Price history (237 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,800
Jun 20262,675
May 20264,436
Apr 20264,217
Mar 20263,199
Feb 20262,955
Jan 20262,669
Dec 20252,674
Nov 20252,604
Oct 20252,757
Sept 20252,723
Aug 20252,467
Jul 20252,433
Jun 20252,447
May 20252,592
Apr 20253,112
Mar 20253,153
Feb 20252,707
Jan 20253,012
Dec 20243,409
Nov 20243,115
Oct 20242,810
Sept 20242,726
Aug 20242,610
Jul 20242,500
Jun 20242,170
May 20242,542
Apr 20243,000
Mar 20242,825
Feb 20242,575
Jan 20242,450
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20232,800
Oct 20232,650
Sept 20232,700
Aug 20232,350
Jul 20232,267
Jun 20232,150
May 20232,825
Apr 20233,219
Mar 20233,456
Feb 20232,843
Dec 20222,036
Nov 20221,915
Oct 20221,700
Sept 20221,350
Aug 20221,372
May 20221,756
Apr 20221,600
Mar 20221,230
Feb 20221,256
Jan 20221,200
May 20211,300
Apr 20211,319
Mar 20211,472
Feb 20211,333
Jan 20211,367
Dec 20201,450
Nov 20201,617
Oct 20201,400
Sept 20201,400
Aug 20201,335
Jul 20201,199
Jun 20201,037
Mar 20201,300
Feb 20201,183
Jan 20201,133
Dec 20191,217
Nov 20191,140
Oct 20191,073
Aug 2019980
Jul 20191,100
Jun 2019867
May 2019983
Mar 20191,117
Feb 20191,070
Jan 20191,052
Dec 20181,207
Nov 20181,083
Oct 20181,083
Sept 20181,025
Aug 2018944
Jul 2018915
Jun 2018923
May 2018962
Apr 2018825
Mar 2018788
Feb 2018785
Jan 2018906
Dec 20171,078
Nov 20171,093
Oct 20171,150
Sept 20171,117
Aug 2017975
Jul 20171,000
Jun 2017950
May 20171,150
Apr 20171,325
Mar 20171,367
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,600
Dec 20161,467
Nov 20161,233
Oct 20161,060
Sept 20161,100
Aug 20161,050
Jul 2016871
Jun 2016792
May 2016900
Apr 20161,184
Mar 20161,167
Feb 20161,117
Jan 20161,042
Dec 20151,350
Nov 20151,046
Oct 2015900
Sept 2015750
Aug 2015650
Jul 2015650
Jun 2015817
May 2015910
Apr 2015863
Mar 2015700
Feb 2015725
Jan 2015704
Dec 2014749
Nov 2014875
Oct 2014788
Sept 2014900
Aug 2014900
Jul 2014652
Jun 2014658
Apr 20141,026
Mar 20141,119
Feb 2014950
Jan 2014850
Nov 20131,200
Oct 20131,020
Sept 2013925
Aug 2013750
Jul 2013800
Jun 2013800
May 20131,065
Apr 20131,100
Mar 2013975
Feb 2013900
Jan 2013800
Dec 2012825
Nov 2012763
Oct 2012700
Sept 2012650
Aug 2012700
Jul 2012617
Jun 2012650
May 2012913
Apr 2012925
Mar 2012700
Feb 2012617
Jan 2012600
Dec 2011700
Nov 2011720
Oct 2011738
Sept 2011740
Aug 2011730
Jul 2011736
Jun 2011600
May 2011850
Apr 2011800
Mar 2011700
Feb 2011700
Jan 2011738
Apr 2010632
May 2008651
Apr 2008642
Mar 2008638
Feb 2008650
Jan 2008613
Dec 2007750
Nov 2007762
Oct 2007765
Sept 2007570
Aug 2007500
Jul 2007483
Jun 2007400
May 2007467
Apr 2007480
Mar 2007480
Feb 2007440
Jan 2007400
Dec 2006500
Nov 2006445
Oct 2006430
Sept 2006410
Aug 2006345
Jul 2006330
Jun 2006345
May 2006475
Apr 2006477
Mar 2006430
Feb 2006420
Jan 2006375
Dec 2005390
Nov 2005390
Oct 2005350
Sept 2005375
Aug 2005375
Jul 2005340
Jun 2005300
May 2005400
Apr 2005425
Mar 2005420
Feb 2005350
Jan 2005425
Dec 2004500
Nov 2004400
Oct 2004350
Sept 2004350
Aug 2004365
Jul 2004290
Jun 2004270
May 2004275
Apr 2004265
Mar 2004250
Feb 2004210
Jan 2004200
Dec 2003200
Nov 2003200
Oct 2003200
Sept 2003210
Aug 2003195
Jul 2003155
Jun 2003180
May 2003195
Apr 2003200
Mar 2003195
Feb 2003195
Jan 2003320

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-206-829-retail-kg.