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Maize (white) in Bandaga

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,395–2,233

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,234–2,336

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,395 and 2,233 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,234 and 2,336 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Bandaga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,395 and 2,233 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,234 and 2,336 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,403); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,311–1,735 1,497 1,194–2,307 2,033 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,369–2,011 1,642 1,189–2,910 2,418 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,395–2,233 1,634 1,154–3,807 2,481 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,365–2,356 1,615 1,165–5,403 2,519 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,234–2,336 1,491 997–5,068 1,958 –
Price history (95 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,450
Jun 20261,333
May 20261,350
Apr 20261,000
Mar 20261,325
Feb 20261,502
Jan 20261,724
Dec 20251,650
Nov 20251,577
Oct 20251,686
Sept 20251,494
Aug 20251,407
Jul 20251,531
Jun 20251,447
May 20251,279
Apr 20251,412
Mar 20251,383
Feb 20251,500
Jan 20252,233
Dec 20242,561
Nov 20242,218
Oct 20242,067
Sept 20241,822
Aug 20241,613
Jul 20241,304
Jun 20241,250
May 20241,108
Apr 20241,250
Mar 20241,253
Feb 20241,309
Jan 20241,688
Dec 20231,950
Nov 20232,200
Oct 20232,047
Sept 20232,054
Aug 20231,765
Jul 20231,668
Jun 20231,564
May 20231,500
Apr 20231,504
Mar 20231,676
Feb 20231,483
Jan 20231,500
Dec 20222,145
Nov 20222,400
Oct 20221,717
Sept 20221,552
Aug 20221,427
Jun 20221,000
May 20221,035
Apr 2022900
Mar 2022933
Feb 20221,036
Jan 20221,047
Oct 20211,067
May 2021700
Apr 2021710
Mar 2021788
Feb 2021825
Jan 2021800
Aug 2020839
Jul 2020745
Jun 2020700
Mar 2020658
Feb 2020700
Jan 2020800
Dec 20191,100
Jul 2019875
Jun 2019525
May 2019500
Mar 2019500
Feb 2019625
Jan 2019580
Nov 2018775
Sept 2018525
Aug 2018500
Jul 2018590
Jun 2018550
May 2018575
Apr 2018479
Mar 2018500
Feb 2018700
Jan 2018833
Dec 2017800
Nov 2017900
Oct 20171,325
Sept 20171,100
Aug 20171,200
May 20171,050
Apr 20171,150
Mar 20171,140
Jan 20171,200
Dec 20161,217
Nov 20161,200
Oct 20161,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2422-67-retail-kg.