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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Bandaga

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 8% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,805–4,794

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,618–5,141

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 26% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,805 and 4,794 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,618 and 5,141 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Bandaga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 26% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,805 and 4,794 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,618 and 5,141 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,986); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,821–3,614 3,104 2,580–4,472 3,493 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,740–4,089 3,201 2,446–4,930 3,506 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,805–4,794 3,223 2,443–6,159 3,902 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,799–5,029 3,243 2,481–7,986 4,051 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,618–5,141 3,178 2,282–6,655 3,669 –
Price history (107 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,967
Jun 20263,333
May 20264,000
Apr 20265,000
Mar 20263,000
Feb 20262,825
Jan 20262,927
Dec 20252,712
Nov 20252,641
Oct 20252,651
Sept 20252,716
Aug 20252,883
Jul 20252,755
Jun 20252,531
May 20252,796
Apr 20253,453
Mar 20253,786
Feb 20253,497
Jan 20254,000
Dec 20243,843
Nov 20243,455
Oct 20243,067
Sept 20242,918
Aug 20242,736
Jul 20242,483
Jun 20242,250
May 20242,583
Apr 20243,050
Mar 20243,233
Feb 20242,961
Jan 20242,138
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20232,991
Sept 20232,858
Aug 20232,850
Jul 20232,321
Jun 20232,400
May 20233,240
Apr 20233,836
Mar 20233,695
Feb 20233,102
Jan 20233,000
Dec 20222,200
Nov 20222,148
Oct 20221,850
Sept 20221,559
Aug 20221,571
Jun 20221,450
May 20221,773
Apr 20221,800
Mar 20221,333
Feb 20221,264
Jan 20221,160
Oct 20211,233
May 20211,350
Apr 20211,366
Mar 20211,617
Feb 20211,383
Jan 20211,200
Dec 20201,732
Nov 20201,723
Oct 20201,600
Sept 20201,518
Aug 20201,466
Jul 20201,289
Jun 20201,208
Mar 20201,617
Feb 20201,500
Jan 20201,333
Dec 20191,320
Nov 20191,160
Oct 20191,150
Aug 2019967
Jul 20191,033
Jun 2019900
May 20191,283
Mar 20191,267
Feb 20191,000
Jan 20191,350
Dec 20181,333
Nov 20181,283
Oct 20181,133
Sept 20181,183
Aug 20181,100
Jul 20181,117
Jun 2018967
May 20181,100
Apr 20181,043
Mar 2018933
Feb 2018800
Jan 2018867
Dec 20171,125
Nov 20171,275
Oct 20171,267
Sept 20171,200
Aug 20171,100
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 20171,267
Apr 20171,400
Mar 20171,420
Feb 20171,600
Jan 20171,700
Dec 20161,636
Nov 20161,338
Oct 20161,200

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2422-829-retail-kg.