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Maize (white) in Bukeye

Muramvya, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 8% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,491–2,172

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,432–2,276

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,491 and 2,172 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,432 and 2,276 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Bukeye: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,491 and 2,172 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,432 and 2,276 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 3,520); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,452–1,836 1,644 1,333–2,130 2,088 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,484–1,998 1,766 1,357–2,360 2,365 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,491–2,172 1,760 1,286–3,150 2,332 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,492–2,307 1,815 1,272–3,520 2,485 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,432–2,276 1,696 1,150–3,334 2,156 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,625
Jul 20261,400
Jun 20261,439
May 20261,467
Apr 20261,200
Mar 20261,447
Feb 20261,688
Jan 20261,706
Dec 20251,982
Nov 20251,912
Oct 20251,912
Sept 20251,744
Aug 20251,800
Jul 20251,500
Jun 20251,580
May 20251,219
Apr 20251,381
Mar 20251,330
Feb 20251,979
Jan 20252,333
Dec 20242,600
Nov 20242,200
Oct 20241,950
Sept 20241,785
Aug 20241,512
Jul 20241,362
Jun 20241,427
May 20241,352
Apr 20241,125
Mar 20241,390
Feb 20241,585
Jan 20241,850
Dec 20232,175
Nov 20231,967
Oct 20232,135
Sept 20232,012
Aug 20231,936
Jul 20231,750
Jun 20231,692
May 20231,504
Apr 20231,781
Mar 20231,706
Feb 20231,469
Dec 20222,000
Nov 20221,800
Oct 20221,576
Sept 20221,667
Aug 20221,300
Jul 20221,100
Jun 20221,100
May 20221,001
Apr 2022883
Mar 2022825
Feb 2022933
Jan 20221,125
Oct 20211,200
May 2021715
Apr 2021735
Mar 2021725
Feb 2021792
Jan 20211,100
Dec 20201,154
Nov 20201,100
Sept 2020900
Aug 2020859
Jul 2020722
Jun 2020683
Mar 20201,680
Feb 2020650
Jan 20201,100
Dec 20191,100
Aug 2019700
Jul 2019675
Jun 2019600
May 2019540
Mar 2019458
Feb 2019725
Jan 2019733
Dec 2018800
Nov 2018700
Sept 2018700
Aug 2018658
Jul 2018590
Jun 2018558
May 2018560
Apr 2018510
Mar 2018625
Feb 2018800
Jan 2018800
Dec 2017989
Nov 20171,025
Oct 20171,117
Sept 20171,060
Aug 2017800
Jul 20171,200
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,075
Apr 20171,000
Mar 20171,010
Feb 20171,100
Jan 20171,200
Dec 20161,240
Nov 20161,133
Oct 2016900

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2425-67-retail-kg.