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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Bukeye

Muramvya, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 10% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,684–4,544

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,425–5,026

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 29% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,684 and 4,544 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,425 and 5,026 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Bukeye: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 29% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,684 and 4,544 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,425 and 5,026 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,677); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,711–3,516 3,037 2,499–4,350 3,444 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,680–3,974 3,112 2,389–5,498 3,395 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,684–4,544 3,124 2,289–6,359 3,699 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,688–4,820 3,137 2,383–8,375 3,897 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,425–5,026 3,030 2,267–8,677 3,341 –
Price history (108 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,875
Jul 20262,500
Jun 20262,694
May 20264,056
Apr 20264,650
Mar 20263,011
Feb 20262,873
Jan 20262,756
Dec 20252,724
Nov 20252,610
Oct 20252,859
Sept 20252,759
Aug 20252,750
Jul 20252,500
Jun 20252,277
May 20252,623
Apr 20253,353
Mar 20253,680
Feb 20253,534
Jan 20253,417
Dec 20243,811
Nov 20242,950
Oct 20243,100
Sept 20242,804
Aug 20242,692
Jul 20242,244
Jun 20242,328
May 20242,471
Apr 20242,875
Mar 20242,653
Feb 20243,070
Jan 20242,600
Dec 20232,650
Nov 20232,933
Oct 20232,877
Sept 20232,862
Aug 20232,658
Jul 20232,200
Jun 20232,391
May 20232,827
Apr 20233,631
Mar 20233,623
Feb 20233,258
Dec 20222,258
Nov 20222,183
Oct 20221,537
Sept 20221,567
Aug 20221,442
Jul 20221,325
Jun 20221,400
May 20221,746
Apr 20221,567
Mar 20221,300
Feb 20221,267
Jan 20221,050
Oct 20211,225
May 20211,200
Apr 20211,317
Mar 20211,575
Feb 20211,467
Jan 20211,300
Dec 20201,615
Nov 20201,667
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,461
Aug 20201,385
Jul 20201,242
Jun 20201,150
Mar 20201,380
Feb 20201,260
Jan 20201,167
Dec 20191,280
Nov 20191,160
Oct 20191,117
Aug 2019958
Jul 20191,058
Jun 2019933
May 20191,080
Mar 20191,133
Feb 2019992
Jan 20191,117
Dec 20181,217
Nov 20181,100
Oct 20181,083
Sept 20181,060
Aug 20181,000
Jul 20181,017
Jun 2018983
May 20181,100
Apr 2018920
Mar 2018850
Feb 2018800
Jan 2018825
Dec 20171,043
Nov 20171,083
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,186
Aug 20171,300
Jul 20171,000
Jun 20171,000
May 20171,267
Apr 20171,200
Mar 20171,240
Feb 20171,383
Jan 20171,375
Dec 20161,388
Nov 20161,245
Oct 20161,075

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2425-829-retail-kg.