Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Food basket in Bukeye

Muramvya, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

25,789–36,212

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

25,818–39,655

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,002 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 25,789 and 36,212 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,818 and 39,655 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Bukeye: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,002 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 25,789 and 36,212 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,818 and 39,655 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 26,662–31,237 28,650 25,618–32,562
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 26,038–33,015 28,695 24,249–36,272
Nov 2026
Next month		 25,789–36,212 29,387 24,270–42,677
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 25,696–38,620 29,605 24,175–49,024
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 25,818–39,655 30,099 23,792–48,380
Cost history (92 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202629,002
Jul 202630,780
Jun 202629,392
May 202631,873
Apr 202633,608
Mar 202630,696
Feb 202628,304
Jan 202629,477
Dec 202527,528
Nov 202524,924
Oct 202526,393
Sept 202527,881
Aug 202530,840
Jul 202529,400
Jun 202529,065
May 202528,803
Apr 202529,232
Mar 202529,942
Feb 202526,840
Jan 202525,668
Dec 202427,300
Nov 202427,750
Oct 202426,048
Sept 202425,507
Aug 202423,966
Jul 202423,061
Jun 202425,072
May 202427,205
Apr 202431,187
Mar 202429,812
Feb 202430,268
Jan 202430,502
Dec 202330,165
Nov 202332,275
Oct 202330,970
Sept 202329,510
Aug 202330,124
Jul 202328,727
Jun 202331,259
May 202331,936
Apr 202334,156
Mar 202333,229
Feb 202328,750
Dec 202223,454
Nov 202222,119
Oct 202219,158
Sept 202218,937
Aug 202220,953
Jul 202217,708
Jun 202217,832
May 202219,116
Apr 202219,341
Mar 202215,572
Feb 202217,872
Jan 202215,619
Oct 202113,668
May 202116,092
Apr 202116,262
Mar 202115,498
Feb 202115,423
Jan 202114,762
Dec 202014,260
Nov 202014,512
Oct 202011,556
Sept 202011,408
Aug 202011,498
Jul 202011,491
Jun 202012,249
Mar 202012,032
Feb 202012,176
Jan 202010,933
Dec 201911,455
Oct 20199,182
Aug 20199,142
Jul 20199,168
Jun 20199,589
May 201910,356
Mar 20199,750
Feb 201910,926
Jan 20199,448
Dec 20189,547
Nov 20189,337
Oct 20189,238
Sept 20189,476
Aug 20189,785
Jul 201810,392
Jun 201811,486
May 201813,927
Apr 201813,729
Mar 201813,352
Feb 201813,758
Jan 201813,734

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620