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Maize (white) in Bukirasazi

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,182–2,075

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,136–2,362

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,182 and 2,075 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,136 and 2,362 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Bukirasazi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,182 and 2,075 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,136 and 2,362 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,576); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,109–1,638 1,308 1,000–2,094 1,864 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,145–1,811 1,397 1,031–2,315 2,039 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,182–2,075 1,423 1,018–3,345 2,277 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,172–2,317 1,445 1,018–5,576 2,455 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,136–2,362 1,416 975–4,964 2,166 –
Price history (103 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,225
Jun 20261,125
May 20261,117
Apr 2026900
Mar 20261,454
Feb 20261,546
Jan 20261,495
Dec 20251,585
Nov 20251,532
Oct 20251,759
Sept 20251,588
Aug 20251,200
Jul 20251,552
Jun 20251,224
May 2025983
Apr 20251,169
Mar 20251,225
Feb 20251,976
Jan 20252,163
Dec 20242,242
Nov 20242,344
Oct 20241,950
Sept 20241,875
Aug 20241,700
Jul 20241,500
Jun 20241,500
May 20241,167
Apr 20241,050
Mar 20241,329
Feb 20241,428
Jan 20241,800
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20231,850
Oct 20232,138
Sept 20231,665
Aug 20231,870
Jul 20231,538
Jun 20231,494
May 20231,321
Apr 20231,150
Mar 20231,588
Feb 20231,606
Dec 20222,000
Nov 20221,875
Oct 20221,522
Sept 20221,341
Aug 20221,307
Jul 20221,250
May 2022893
Apr 2022800
Mar 2022650
Feb 20221,038
Jan 20221,069
Oct 2021950
May 2021640
Apr 2021544
Mar 2021535
Feb 2021800
Jan 2021818
Dec 2020900
Nov 2020825
Oct 2020773
Sept 2020742
Aug 2020595
Jul 2020647
Jun 2020550
Mar 2020550
Feb 2020775
Jan 20201,000
Dec 20191,100
Oct 2019825
Aug 2019625
Jul 2019967
Jun 2019450
May 2019400
Mar 2019400
Feb 2019850
Jan 2019650
Dec 2018775
Nov 2018650
Oct 2018500
Sept 2018425
Aug 2018440
Jul 2018412
Jun 2018450
May 2018392
Mar 2018450
Feb 2018700
Jan 2018925
Dec 20171,025
Nov 20171,000
Oct 20171,100
Sept 20171,000
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017983
Jun 20171,000
May 2017733
Apr 2017700
Mar 2017625
Jan 20171,275
Dec 20161,200
Nov 2016967
Oct 2016800

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2426-67-retail-kg.