Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Maize flour in Bukirasazi

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,688–2,529

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,643–2,852

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 22% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,688 and 2,529 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,643 and 2,852 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Bukirasazi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 22% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,688 and 2,529 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,643 and 2,852 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,982); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,655–2,055 1,837 1,516–2,426 2,312 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,661–2,279 1,931 1,510–3,052 2,466 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,688–2,529 1,974 1,523–3,570 2,736 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,714–2,547 2,047 1,530–3,411 2,873 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,643–2,852 1,933 1,409–5,982 2,612 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,850
Jun 20261,750
May 20261,522
Apr 20261,500
Mar 20262,000
Feb 20262,054
Jan 20261,936
Dec 20252,041
Nov 20251,961
Oct 20252,103
Sept 20251,910
Aug 20251,667
Jul 20251,892
Jun 20251,757
May 20251,522
Apr 20251,559
Mar 20251,773
Feb 20252,395
Jan 20252,526
Dec 20242,667
Nov 20242,577
Oct 20242,400
Sept 20242,131
Aug 20242,070
Jul 20242,000
Jun 20241,850
May 20241,567
Apr 20241,700
Mar 20241,588
Feb 20241,922
Jan 20242,050
Dec 20232,250
Nov 20232,150
Oct 20232,438
Sept 20232,000
Aug 20232,130
Jul 20232,025
Jun 20232,000
May 20231,815
Apr 20231,694
Mar 20231,918
Feb 20232,000
Dec 20222,200
Nov 20222,075
Oct 20221,788
Sept 20221,562
Aug 20221,473
Jul 20221,500
May 20221,140
Apr 20221,000
Mar 2022900
Feb 20221,238
Jan 20221,269
Oct 20211,100
May 2021800
Apr 2021800
Mar 2021905
Feb 20211,067
Jan 20211,100
Dec 20201,100
Nov 20201,025
Oct 2020964
Sept 2020900
Aug 2020800
Jul 2020842
Jun 2020775
Mar 2020750
Feb 20201,000
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,150
Oct 20191,000
Aug 2019812
Jul 20191,067
Jun 2019600
May 2019600
Mar 2019600
Feb 20191,000
Jan 2019900
Dec 20181,000
Nov 2018850
Oct 2018700
Sept 2018700
Aug 2018760
Jul 2018700
Jun 2018650
May 2018700
Mar 2018638
Feb 2018900
Jan 20181,050
Dec 20171,200
Nov 20171,233
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,167
Aug 20171,100
Jul 20171,100
Jun 20171,100
May 2017933
Apr 2017800
Mar 2017725
Feb 20171,200
Jan 20171,300
Dec 20161,330
Nov 20161,140
Oct 20161,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2426-76-retail-kg.