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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Bukirasazi

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,405–3,975

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,233–4,687

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,405 and 3,975 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,233 and 4,687 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Bukirasazi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,405 and 3,975 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,233 and 4,687 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,354); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,389–3,148 2,630 2,261–4,239 3,024 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,348–3,501 2,750 2,203–4,806 3,145 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,405–3,975 2,762 2,250–5,273 3,459 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,381–4,326 2,787 2,260–7,984 3,532 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,233–4,687 2,692 2,131–9,354 3,157 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,450
Jun 20262,400
May 20263,989
Apr 20264,250
Mar 20262,538
Feb 20262,908
Jan 20262,341
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,325
Oct 20252,483
Sept 20252,485
Aug 20252,367
Jul 20252,305
Jun 20252,156
May 20252,610
Apr 20252,952
Mar 20253,151
Feb 20253,236
Jan 20253,281
Dec 20243,318
Nov 20243,000
Oct 20242,950
Sept 20242,844
Aug 20242,678
Jul 20242,100
Jun 20242,175
May 20242,600
Apr 20243,000
Mar 20242,824
Feb 20242,661
Jan 20242,350
Dec 20232,150
Nov 20232,650
Oct 20232,594
Sept 20232,445
Aug 20232,450
Jul 20232,056
Jun 20231,506
May 20232,435
Apr 20233,225
Mar 20233,412
Feb 20232,989
Dec 20222,200
Nov 20221,950
Oct 20221,675
Sept 20221,453
Aug 20221,359
Jul 20221,250
May 20221,397
Apr 20221,700
Mar 20221,050
Feb 20221,008
Jan 20221,162
Oct 20211,100
May 20211,450
Apr 20211,484
Mar 20211,500
Feb 20211,583
Jan 20211,159
Dec 20201,391
Nov 20201,500
Oct 20201,464
Sept 20201,233
Aug 20201,178
Jul 20201,126
Jun 2020875
Mar 20201,250
Feb 20201,200
Jan 20201,100
Dec 20191,150
Nov 20191,150
Oct 20191,100
Aug 2019900
Jul 20191,050
Jun 2019690
May 2019800
Mar 20191,050
Feb 20191,200
Jan 20191,100
Dec 20181,225
Nov 20181,075
Oct 20181,000
Sept 2018950
Aug 2018840
Jul 2018812
Jun 2018738
May 2018875
Mar 2018850
Feb 2018750
Jan 2018825
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,167
Oct 20171,000
Sept 2017967
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017817
Jun 2017800
May 20171,133
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,400
Feb 20171,450
Jan 20171,433
Dec 20161,420
Nov 20161,160
Oct 20161,100

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2426-829-retail-kg.