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Maize (white) in Bururi

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,631–2,303

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,577–2,553

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,631 and 2,303 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,577 and 2,553 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Bururi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,631 and 2,303 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,577 and 2,553 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,579–1,972 1,774 1,494–2,094 2,156 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,605–2,199 1,872 1,502–2,341 2,628 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,631–2,303 1,878 1,514–2,433 2,759 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,641–2,490 1,986 1,385–2,541 2,987 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,577–2,553 1,947 1,343–2,617 2,884 –
Price history (102 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,592
Jul 20261,700
Jun 20261,700
May 20261,743
Apr 20261,958
Mar 20262,082
Feb 20262,236
Jan 20262,205
Dec 20252,062
Nov 20252,069
Oct 20251,986
Sept 20251,924
Aug 20251,950
Jul 20251,872
Jun 20251,781
May 20251,794
Apr 20251,831
Mar 20251,971
Feb 20252,793
Jan 20252,938
Dec 20242,991
Nov 20242,506
Oct 20242,267
Sept 20242,240
Aug 20241,975
Jul 20241,858
Jun 20241,710
May 20241,628
Apr 20241,575
Mar 20241,823
Feb 20241,912
Jan 20241,921
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,100
Oct 20232,057
Sept 20232,078
Aug 20232,000
Jul 20231,875
Jun 20231,673
May 20231,910
Apr 20231,733
Mar 20231,950
Feb 20231,996
Jan 20232,100
Dec 20222,233
Nov 20222,047
Oct 20221,845
Sept 20221,691
Aug 20221,390
May 20221,500
Apr 20221,700
Mar 20221,525
Feb 20221,400
Jan 20221,500
Oct 20211,067
Sept 2021850
May 2021850
Apr 2021996
Mar 20211,050
Feb 20211,100
Jan 20211,250
Dec 20201,150
Nov 20201,100
Sept 2020800
Aug 2020800
Jul 2020800
Jun 2020800
Mar 2020800
Feb 2020800
Jan 20201,600
Dec 20191,367
Oct 20191,220
Aug 2019967
Jul 20191,117
Jun 2019625
May 2019600
Mar 2019750
Feb 2019788
Jan 2019930
Dec 2018920
Nov 2018740
Oct 2018700
Sept 2018650
Aug 2018630
Jul 2018646
Jun 2018610
May 20181,417Data error
Apr 2018575
Mar 2018730
Feb 2018822
Jan 2018860
Dec 2017912
Nov 2017950
Oct 20171,100
Aug 20171,175
Jul 20171,200
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,175
Apr 20171,125
Dec 20161,300
Nov 20161,125
Oct 2016981

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2427-67-retail-kg.