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Cassava flour in Bururi

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,458–2,393

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,388–2,641

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,458 and 2,393 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,388 and 2,641 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Cassava flour, Bururi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,458 and 2,393 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,388 and 2,641 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,631); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,509–1,992 1,746 1,345–2,290 2,130 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,481–2,111 1,757 1,251–3,021 2,085 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,458–2,393 1,745 1,267–3,841 2,250 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,373–2,525 1,692 1,185–5,631 2,079 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,388–2,641 1,756 1,201–4,993 2,064 –
Price history (103 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,650
Jul 20261,500
Jun 20261,743
May 20261,910
Apr 20262,233
Mar 20261,737
Feb 20261,745
Jan 20261,670
Dec 20251,570
Nov 20251,662
Oct 20251,760
Sept 20251,805
Aug 20251,892
Jul 20251,762
Jun 20252,250
May 20252,043
Apr 20251,738
Mar 20251,778
Feb 20251,804
Jan 20252,090
Dec 20241,953
Nov 20241,962
Oct 20241,783
Sept 20242,278
Aug 20241,853
Jul 20242,023
Jun 20242,115
May 20242,275
Apr 20242,125
Mar 20242,216
Feb 20242,006
Jan 20241,879
Dec 20231,800
Nov 20232,500
Oct 20232,670
Sept 20232,166
Aug 20232,092
Jul 20231,950
Jun 20232,359
May 20231,980
Apr 20232,100
Mar 20232,067
Feb 20231,725
Jan 20231,667
Dec 20221,533
Nov 20221,400
Oct 20221,490
Sept 20221,462
Aug 20221,315
May 20221,300
Apr 20221,300
Mar 20221,275
Feb 20221,250
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,000
Sept 20211,200
May 20211,100
Apr 20211,100
Mar 20211,050
Feb 20211,000
Jan 20211,150
Dec 20201,100
Nov 20201,000
Sept 20201,000
Aug 20201,000
Jul 20201,000
Jun 20201,000
Mar 2020900
Feb 2020900
Jan 2020700
Dec 2019700
Oct 2019740
Aug 2019808
Jul 2019667
Jun 2019925
May 2019900
Mar 2019733
Feb 2019540
Jan 2019900
Dec 2018970
Nov 2018950
Oct 2018850
Sept 2018980
Aug 2018967
Jul 20182,600Data error
Jun 20181,120
May 20181,183
Apr 20181,217
Mar 20181,220
Feb 20181,150
Jan 20181,233
Dec 20171,175
Nov 20171,300
Oct 20171,300
Aug 20171,250
Jul 20171,300
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,300
Apr 20171,100
Feb 20171,100
Dec 20161,175
Nov 20161,038
Oct 2016957

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2427-74-retail-kg.