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Maize flour in Bururi

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,853–2,638

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,787–2,891

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,853 and 2,638 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,787 and 2,891 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Bururi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,853 and 2,638 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,787 and 2,891 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,805–2,274 2,045 1,692–2,363 2,394 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,828–2,455 2,124 1,659–2,472 2,731 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,853–2,638 2,134 1,660–3,271 2,863 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,854–2,876 2,234 1,564–3,927 3,056 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,787–2,891 2,215 1,517–3,338 3,058 –
Price history (103 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,817
Jul 20262,000
Jun 20262,076
May 20262,047
Apr 20262,383
Mar 20262,470
Feb 20262,479
Jan 20262,476
Dec 20252,341
Nov 20252,218
Oct 20252,186
Sept 20252,088
Aug 20252,108
Jul 20252,182
Jun 20252,019
May 20252,063
Apr 20252,029
Mar 20252,200
Feb 20253,018
Jan 20253,203
Dec 20243,212
Nov 20242,791
Oct 20242,389
Sept 20242,396
Aug 20242,200
Jul 20242,015
Jun 20241,881
May 20241,867
Apr 20241,825
Mar 20242,023
Feb 20242,152
Jan 20242,118
Dec 20232,200
Nov 20232,250
Oct 20232,207
Sept 20232,238
Aug 20232,181
Jul 20232,025
Jun 20231,923
May 20232,105
Apr 20231,917
Mar 20232,142
Feb 20232,233
Jan 20232,367
Dec 20222,400
Nov 20222,213
Oct 20222,000
Sept 20221,884
Aug 20221,575
May 20221,350
Apr 20221,850
Mar 20221,700
Feb 20221,600
Jan 20221,700
Oct 20211,267
Sept 20211,200
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,000
Mar 20211,300
Feb 20211,300
Jan 20211,400
Dec 20201,300
Nov 20201,200
Sept 20201,000
Aug 20201,000
Jul 20201,000
Jun 20201,000
Mar 2020950
Feb 20201,150
Jan 20201,900
Dec 20191,533
Oct 20191,340
Aug 20191,033
Jul 20191,383
Jun 2019900
May 2019950
Mar 2019967
Feb 2019980
Jan 20191,060
Dec 20181,100
Nov 2018975
Oct 2018900
Sept 2018920
Aug 2018942
Jul 2018880
Jun 2018960
May 2018983
Apr 2018917
Mar 20181,000
Feb 20181,183
Jan 20181,233
Dec 20171,150
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,400
Aug 20171,350
Jul 20171,400
Jun 2017844
May 20171,350
Apr 20171,350
Feb 20171,400
Dec 20161,400
Nov 20161,288
Oct 20161,143

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2427-76-retail-kg.