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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Bururi

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 9% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,599–4,377

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,551–5,168

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,599 and 4,377 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,551 and 5,168 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Bururi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,599 and 4,377 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,551 and 5,168 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 11,793); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,593–3,402 2,934 2,489–4,283 3,249 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,562–3,855 3,002 2,474–5,731 3,362 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,599–4,377 3,025 2,418–7,812 3,744 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,661–4,708 3,092 2,476–10,253 3,970 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,551–5,168 3,065 2,504–11,793 3,773 –
Price history (103 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,792
Jul 20262,200
Jun 20262,991
May 20264,407
Apr 20264,350
Mar 20262,767
Feb 20262,871
Jan 20262,857
Dec 20252,814
Nov 20252,803
Oct 20252,691
Sept 20252,883
Aug 20252,692
Jul 20252,323
Jun 20252,866
May 20253,078
Apr 20253,483
Mar 20253,216
Feb 20253,354
Jan 20253,222
Dec 20243,668
Nov 20243,131
Oct 20242,922
Sept 20242,906
Aug 20242,547
Jul 20242,544
Jun 20242,608
May 20242,861
Apr 20243,150
Mar 20243,056
Feb 20242,905
Jan 20242,594
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20232,700
Oct 20232,643
Sept 20232,625
Aug 20232,853
Jul 20232,575
Jun 20232,495
May 20233,464
Apr 20233,600
Mar 20233,208
Feb 20232,950
Jan 20232,833
Dec 20222,333
Nov 20222,075
Oct 20221,646
Sept 20221,506
Aug 20221,400
May 20222,000
Apr 20221,900
Mar 20221,650
Feb 20221,800
Jan 20221,800
Oct 20211,233
Sept 20211,500
May 20211,700
Apr 20211,642
Mar 20212,000
Feb 20211,900
Jan 20211,750
Dec 20201,700
Nov 20201,700
Sept 20201,600
Aug 20201,500
Jul 20201,450
Jun 20201,400
Mar 20201,600
Feb 20201,500
Jan 20201,500
Dec 20191,350
Nov 20191,357
Oct 20191,340
Aug 20191,000
Jul 20191,325
Jun 20191,200
May 20191,358
Mar 20191,283
Feb 20191,120
Jan 20191,270
Dec 20181,260
Nov 20181,075
Oct 20181,025
Sept 20181,020
Aug 2018942
Jul 2018920
Jun 20181,000
May 20181,117
Apr 2018983
Mar 20181,040
Feb 20181,150
Jan 2018967
Dec 20171,150
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,250
Aug 20171,100
Jul 20171,200
Jun 2017950
May 20171,350
Apr 20171,450
Dec 20161,425
Nov 20161,288
Oct 20161,129

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2427-829-retail-kg.