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Food basket in Bururi

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

27,761–42,684

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

27,088–49,499

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 30,230 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 27,761 and 42,684 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 27,088 and 49,499 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Bururi: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 30,230 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 27,761 and 42,684 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 27,088 and 49,499 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 90,239); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 28,301–35,174 31,586 26,176–39,169
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 28,022–38,590 31,964 25,367–51,086
Nov 2026
Next month		 27,761–42,684 32,254 25,730–59,286
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 26,887–47,370 32,088 24,258–89,493
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 27,088–49,499 32,857 24,614–90,239
Cost history (90 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202630,230
Jul 202627,480
Jun 202632,036
May 202636,431
Apr 202640,322
Mar 202630,938
Feb 202631,369
Jan 202630,411
Dec 202528,832
Nov 202530,332
Oct 202532,084
Sept 202533,551
Aug 202533,928
Jul 202531,406
Jun 202537,894
May 202535,958
Apr 202533,632
Mar 202534,026
Feb 202533,606
Jan 202535,808
Dec 202434,329
Nov 202433,186
Oct 202430,800
Sept 202436,903
Aug 202431,082
Jul 202433,202
Jun 202434,224
May 202436,705
Apr 202434,879
Mar 202435,995
Feb 202433,221
Jan 202430,814
Dec 202330,780
Nov 202338,828
Oct 202340,742
Sept 202334,432
Aug 202333,973
Jul 202331,399
Jun 202336,800
May 202333,568
Apr 202335,188
Mar 202333,996
Feb 202329,518
Jan 202328,435
Dec 202225,590
Nov 202223,627
Oct 202223,368
Sept 202223,690
Aug 202222,250
May 202222,650
Apr 202221,780
Mar 202220,685
Feb 202220,517
Jan 202221,255
Oct 202116,750
Sept 202119,515
May 202118,192
Apr 202118,168
Mar 202118,339
Feb 202117,352
Jan 202118,675
Dec 202017,916
Nov 202016,578
Sept 202016,191
Aug 202016,425
Jul 202016,438
Jun 202016,348
Mar 202015,508
Feb 202015,122
Jan 202013,032
Dec 201912,509
Oct 201912,976
Aug 201913,409
Jul 201912,317
Jun 201914,985
May 201915,499
Mar 201912,812
Feb 201910,014
Jan 201914,908
Dec 201815,440
Nov 201814,698
Oct 201813,425
Sept 201814,921
Aug 201815,325
Jun 201817,338
May 201818,090
Apr 201818,095
Mar 201817,892
Feb 201817,422
Jan 201818,035

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620