Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Maize (white) in Busoni

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 12% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,579–2,415

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,497–2,621

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,579 and 2,415 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,497 and 2,621 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Busoni: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,579 and 2,415 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,497 and 2,621 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,566); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,502–1,944 1,692 1,379–2,425 2,130 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,534–2,169 1,824 1,367–2,956 2,441 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,579–2,415 1,867 1,332–4,032 2,558 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,572–2,551 1,906 1,305–4,806 2,622 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,497–2,621 1,817 1,281–5,566 2,384 –
Price history (103 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,650
Jun 20261,500
May 20261,450
Apr 20261,425
Mar 20261,617
Feb 20261,614
Jan 20261,906
Dec 20252,029
Nov 20251,912
Oct 20251,775
Sept 20251,800
Aug 20251,700
Jul 20251,800
Jun 20251,636
May 20251,435
Apr 20251,531
Mar 20251,388
Feb 20251,647
Jan 20252,550
Dec 20242,203
Nov 20242,302
Oct 20242,033
Sept 20241,700
Aug 20241,661
Jul 20241,250
Jun 20241,070
May 20241,178
Apr 20241,200
Mar 20241,364
Feb 20241,326
Jan 20241,453
Dec 20232,250
Nov 20232,150
Oct 20232,127
Sept 20231,974
Aug 20231,800
Jul 20231,538
Jun 20231,667
May 20231,731
Apr 20231,900
Mar 20231,723
Feb 20231,585
Dec 20221,956
Nov 20221,635
Oct 20221,825
Sept 20221,552
Aug 20221,165
Jul 20221,400
Jun 20221,200
May 20221,025
Apr 20221,000
Mar 2022905
Feb 2022907
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,100
May 2021700
Apr 2021729
Mar 2021721
Feb 2021800
Jan 20211,200
Dec 2020900
Nov 2020950
Sept 2020800
Aug 2020683
Jul 2020625
Jun 2020756
Mar 2020658
Feb 2020517
Jan 2020833
Dec 20191,133
Oct 2019960
Aug 2019733
Jul 2019820
Jun 2019667
May 2019592
Mar 2019533
Feb 2019620
Jan 2019875
Dec 2018750
Nov 2018643
Oct 2018533
Sept 2018550
Aug 2018492
Jul 2018517
Jun 2018580
May 2018608
Apr 2018500
Mar 2018520
Feb 2018500
Jan 2018867
Dec 2017960
Nov 20171,083
Oct 20171,080
Sept 20171,033
Aug 20171,100
Jul 2017700
Jun 2017600
Mar 20171,200
Feb 20171,000
Jan 20171,225
Dec 20161,200
Nov 20161,200
Oct 20161,200

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2428-67-retail-kg.