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Maize flour in Busoni

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,910–2,702

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,804–2,930

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,910 and 2,702 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,804 and 2,930 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Busoni: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,910 and 2,702 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,804 and 2,930 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,894); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,876–2,220 2,036 1,720–2,614 2,325 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,857–2,407 2,097 1,677–2,749 2,417 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,910–2,702 2,212 1,676–3,543 2,712 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,889–2,906 2,297 1,649–4,770 2,831 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,804–2,930 2,147 1,527–4,894 2,559 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,050
Jun 20262,000
May 20261,894
Apr 20262,000
Mar 20261,986
Feb 20261,929
Jan 20262,229
Dec 20252,354
Nov 20252,300
Oct 20252,104
Sept 20252,000
Aug 20252,000
Jul 20252,128
Jun 20252,041
May 20251,902
Apr 20251,965
Mar 20251,732
Feb 20252,184
Jan 20252,875
Dec 20242,578
Nov 20242,588
Oct 20242,300
Sept 20242,149
Aug 20241,900
Jul 20241,583
Jun 20241,463
May 20241,561
Apr 20241,500
Mar 20241,753
Feb 20241,655
Jan 20241,888
Dec 20232,450
Nov 20232,300
Oct 20232,259
Sept 20232,152
Aug 20232,000
Jul 20231,862
Jun 20231,919
May 20231,945
Apr 20232,100
Mar 20231,998
Feb 20231,809
Dec 20222,156
Nov 20221,835
Oct 20221,825
Sept 20221,655
Aug 20221,283
Jul 20221,400
Jun 20221,300
May 20221,212
Apr 20221,167
Mar 20221,188
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,200
May 2021900
Apr 2021965
Mar 20211,059
Feb 20211,083
Jan 20211,258
Dec 20201,233
Nov 20201,150
Oct 2020950
Sept 2020962
Aug 2020850
Jul 2020825
Jun 2020939
Mar 2020833
Feb 2020767
Jan 20201,067
Dec 20191,317
Oct 20191,067
Aug 2019917
Jul 20191,033
Jun 2019800
May 2019817
Mar 2019767
Feb 2019800
Jan 20191,000
Dec 2018950
Nov 2018814
Oct 2018700
Sept 2018700
Aug 2018700
Jul 2018700
Jun 2018700
May 2018733
Apr 2018700
Mar 2018790
Feb 2018800
Jan 20181,028
Dec 20171,100
Nov 20171,233
Oct 20171,283
Sept 20171,288
Aug 20171,300
Jul 20171,200
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,367
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,400
Feb 20171,350
Jan 20171,383
Dec 20161,400
Nov 20161,329
Oct 20161,233

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2428-76-retail-kg.