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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Busoni

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,583–4,398

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,954–4,055

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 25% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,583 and 4,398 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,954 and 4,055 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Busoni: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 25% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,583 and 4,398 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,954 and 4,055 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,737); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,588–3,410 2,872 2,356–4,142 3,104 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,590–3,827 2,963 2,252–4,620 3,319 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,583–4,398 2,948 2,234–6,471 3,502 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,561–4,628 2,948 2,252–7,615 3,533 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,954–4,055 2,368 1,812–8,737 2,513 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,800
Jun 20262,738
May 20263,717
Apr 20264,625
Mar 20262,992
Feb 20262,523
Jan 20262,033
Dec 20252,258
Nov 20252,478
Oct 20252,551
Sept 20252,362
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,472
Jun 20252,173
May 20252,302
Apr 20252,698
Mar 20252,736
Feb 20252,692
Jan 20252,186
Dec 20243,311
Nov 20243,000
Oct 20243,167
Sept 20242,771
Aug 20242,315
Jul 20242,258
Jun 20242,061
May 20242,194
Apr 20242,033
Mar 20242,000
Feb 20241,952
Jan 20241,815
Dec 20232,200
Nov 20232,475
Oct 20232,585
Sept 20232,500
Aug 20232,500
Jul 20231,962
Jun 20231,861
May 20232,916
Apr 20233,275
Mar 20233,225
Feb 20232,865
Dec 20222,083
Nov 20222,035
Oct 20221,688
Sept 20221,427
Aug 20221,242
Jul 20221,100
May 20221,283
Apr 20221,533
Mar 20221,083
Feb 2022981
Jan 2022900
Oct 20211,200
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,094
Mar 20211,159
Feb 20211,183
Jan 2021958
Dec 20201,411
Nov 20201,475
Oct 20201,400
Sept 20201,307
Aug 20201,353
Jul 20201,151
Jun 20201,028
Mar 20201,183
Feb 20201,117
Jan 2020767
Dec 20191,167
Nov 2019933
Oct 20191,117
Aug 2019950
Jul 20191,033
Jun 2019667
May 20191,050
Mar 20191,000
Feb 2019958
Jan 2019738
Dec 20181,067
Nov 20181,014
Oct 20181,000
Sept 2018950
Aug 2018800
Jul 2018783
Jun 2018683
May 2018833
Apr 2018700
Mar 2018620
Feb 2018800
Jan 2018694
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,100
Oct 20171,167
Sept 20171,000
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 2017867
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,100
Feb 20171,000
Jan 20171,267
Dec 20161,420
Nov 20161,370
Oct 20161,050

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2428-829-retail-kg.