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Food basket in Busoni

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

26,458–38,329

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

25,554–41,958

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 30,795 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,458 and 38,329 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,554 and 41,958 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Busoni: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 30,795 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,458 and 38,329 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,554 and 41,958 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 65,844); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 27,416–32,846 29,836 26,582–35,603
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 26,667–35,198 30,058 25,381–40,552
Nov 2026
Next month		 26,458–38,329 30,052 25,151–49,544
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 26,267–39,852 30,164 24,616–62,584
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 25,554–41,958 29,486 24,070–65,844
Cost history (90 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202630,795
Jun 202630,469
May 202631,873
Apr 202634,162
Mar 202629,897
Feb 202628,950
Jan 202626,681
Dec 202525,662
Nov 202527,844
Oct 202528,484
Sept 202530,379
Aug 202533,090
Jul 202538,761
Jun 202533,878
May 202529,539
Apr 202531,913
Mar 202530,235
Feb 202527,959
Jan 202526,349
Dec 202428,552
Nov 202427,788
Oct 202429,070
Sept 202425,906
Aug 202429,390
Jul 202428,795
Jun 202431,181
May 202432,978
Apr 202432,030
Mar 202430,771
Feb 202429,832
Jan 202428,617
Dec 202329,100
Nov 202329,526
Oct 202329,009
Sept 202330,038
Aug 202329,820
Jul 202326,279
Jun 202330,970
May 202334,115
Apr 202334,923
Mar 202331,389
Feb 202328,739
Dec 202222,906
Nov 202221,088
Oct 202220,150
Sept 202220,674
Aug 202220,206
Jul 202220,499
May 202221,011
Apr 202220,104
Mar 202218,970
Feb 202218,383
Jan 202218,509
Oct 202116,782
May 202118,408
Apr 202117,687
Mar 202118,418
Feb 202117,193
Jan 202116,811
Dec 202015,873
Nov 202014,703
Oct 202014,052
Sept 202012,684
Aug 202013,509
Jul 202013,137
Jun 202014,672
Mar 202012,062
Feb 202011,662
Jan 202010,728
Dec 201910,775
Oct 201910,301
Aug 201910,180
Jul 20199,976
Jun 201910,070
May 201911,326
Mar 201910,222
Feb 20199,524
Jan 20199,364
Dec 201810,376
Nov 201811,005
Oct 20189,748
Sept 201810,208
Aug 201812,333
Jul 201813,326
Jun 201814,169
May 201815,501
Apr 201815,123
Mar 201813,442
Feb 201814,820
Jan 201813,996

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620