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Maize (white) in Buyengero

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 14% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,803–2,649

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,747–3,031

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 13% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,803 and 2,649 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,747 and 3,031 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Buyengero: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 13% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,803 and 2,649 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,747 and 3,031 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,895); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,787–2,096 1,894 1,655–2,589 2,286 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,760–2,220 1,933 1,635–3,395 2,432 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,803–2,649 2,039 1,688–4,757 2,745 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,796–2,814 2,075 1,619–5,895 2,744 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,747–3,031 2,122 1,608–5,808 2,857 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,900
Jun 20261,892
May 20261,684
Apr 20261,783
Mar 20262,083
Feb 20262,252
Jan 20262,286
Dec 20252,126
Nov 20252,106
Oct 20251,983
Sept 20251,949
Aug 20251,933
Jul 20251,946
Jun 20251,870
May 20251,678
Apr 20252,115
Mar 20252,308
Feb 20252,685
Jan 20252,979
Dec 20242,733
Nov 20242,465
Oct 20242,112
Sept 20242,272
Aug 20242,127
Jul 20241,700
Jun 20241,742
May 20241,702
Apr 20242,000
Mar 20241,983
Feb 20242,177
Jan 20242,039
Dec 20232,200
Nov 20232,250
Oct 20232,097
Sept 20232,241
Aug 20232,200
Jul 20232,117
Jun 20231,981
May 20231,949
Apr 20232,015
Mar 20232,144
Feb 20232,341
Dec 20222,368
Nov 20222,298
Oct 20221,841
Sept 20221,569
Aug 20221,519
May 20221,242
Apr 20221,133
Mar 20221,350
Feb 20221,500
Oct 20211,000
Sept 20211,000
May 20211,000
Apr 2021912
Mar 20211,050
Feb 20211,112
Jan 20211,050
Dec 2020900
Nov 2020850
Oct 2020800
Sept 2020800
Aug 2020800
Jul 2020800
Jun 2020909
Mar 20201,167
Feb 20201,267
Jan 20201,700
Dec 20191,160
Oct 20191,167
Aug 2019783
Jul 2019890
Jun 2019700
May 2019671
Mar 2019833
Feb 2019700
Jan 2019890
Dec 2018833
Nov 2018800
Oct 2018758
Sept 2018770
Aug 2018767
Jul 2018725
Jun 2018742
May 2018800
Apr 2018700
Mar 2018800
Feb 2018900
Jan 2018850
Dec 2017933
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,129
Sept 20171,100
Aug 20171,150
Jul 20171,088
Jun 20171,017
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,050
Mar 20171,200
Feb 20171,383
Jan 20171,367
Dec 20161,323
Nov 20161,189
Oct 20161,180

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2429-67-retail-kg.