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Maize flour in Buyengero

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 8% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,353–3,119

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,241–3,327

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,353 and 3,119 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,241 and 3,327 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Buyengero: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,353 and 3,119 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,241 and 3,327 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,557); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,299–2,622 2,402 2,180–2,929 2,720 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,291–2,717 2,449 2,134–3,315 2,809 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,353–3,119 2,567 2,137–4,475 3,257 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,320–3,184 2,648 2,078–4,332 3,249 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,241–3,327 2,637 1,977–4,557 3,272 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,450
Jun 20262,412
May 20262,228
Apr 20262,283
Mar 20262,542
Feb 20262,738
Jan 20262,774
Dec 20252,558
Nov 20252,534
Oct 20252,472
Sept 20252,500
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,410
Jun 20252,424
May 20252,272
Apr 20252,550
Mar 20253,037
Feb 20253,265
Jan 20253,400
Dec 20243,178
Nov 20242,873
Oct 20242,482
Sept 20242,511
Aug 20242,446
Jul 20242,233
Jun 20242,123
May 20242,204
Apr 20242,300
Mar 20242,433
Feb 20242,461
Jan 20242,433
Dec 20232,500
Nov 20232,600
Oct 20232,419
Sept 20232,541
Aug 20232,550
Jul 20232,500
Jun 20232,222
May 20232,373
Apr 20232,448
Mar 20232,619
Feb 20232,644
Dec 20222,700
Nov 20222,642
Oct 20222,044
Sept 20221,816
Aug 20221,775
May 20221,463
Apr 20221,300
Mar 20221,558
Feb 20221,650
Jan 20221,600
Oct 20211,200
Sept 20211,200
May 20211,200
Apr 20211,161
Mar 20211,217
Feb 20211,300
Jan 20211,238
Dec 20201,150
Nov 20201,075
Oct 20201,000
Sept 20201,000
Aug 20201,000
Jul 20201,000
Jun 20201,102
Mar 20201,300
Feb 20201,420
Jan 20201,900
Dec 20191,380
Oct 20191,275
Aug 2019942
Jul 20191,067
Jun 2019900
May 2019921
Mar 20191,067
Feb 2019983
Jan 20191,100
Dec 20181,067
Nov 20181,040
Oct 2018983
Sept 20181,000
Aug 20181,033
Jul 2018950
Jun 2018958
May 2018960
Apr 2018875
Mar 20181,050
Feb 20181,200
Jan 20181,100
Dec 20171,200
Nov 20171,500
Oct 20171,357
Sept 20171,380
Aug 20171,325
Jul 20171,325
Jun 20171,333
May 20171,400
Apr 20171,433
Mar 20171,450
Feb 20171,633
Jan 20171,600
Dec 20161,569
Nov 20161,400
Oct 20161,240

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2429-76-retail-kg.