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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Buyengero

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,921–4,395

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,819–4,998

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 41% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,921 and 4,395 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,819 and 4,998 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Buyengero: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 41% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,921 and 4,395 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,819 and 4,998 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,216); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,902–3,624 3,151 2,672–4,341 3,462 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,905–4,115 3,251 2,521–4,964 3,619 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,921–4,395 3,340 2,490–4,979 4,012 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,911–4,562 3,380 2,499–5,631 4,199 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,819–4,998 3,252 2,474–8,216 3,828 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,000
Jun 20263,608
May 20265,059
Apr 20264,333
Mar 20262,958
Feb 20262,750
Jan 20262,957
Dec 20253,070
Nov 20253,141
Oct 20253,101
Sept 20252,904
Aug 20252,667
Jul 20252,874
Jun 20253,016
May 20253,008
Apr 20253,732
Mar 20253,490
Feb 20253,350
Jan 20253,461
Dec 20243,706
Nov 20243,488
Oct 20243,182
Sept 20242,998
Aug 20242,688
Jul 20242,533
Jun 20242,660
May 20243,532
Apr 20243,500
Mar 20243,583
Feb 20243,093
Jan 20242,835
Dec 20233,200
Nov 20233,250
Oct 20233,119
Sept 20233,259
Aug 20232,875
Jul 20232,400
Jun 20232,953
May 20233,546
Apr 20233,639
Mar 20233,552
Feb 20233,112
Dec 20222,468
Nov 20222,449
Oct 20221,781
Sept 20221,624
Aug 20221,485
May 20222,290
Apr 20221,800
Mar 20221,492
Feb 20221,500
Jan 20221,400
Oct 20211,500
Sept 20211,500
May 20211,800
Apr 20211,761
Mar 20211,783
Feb 20211,700
Jan 20211,800
Dec 20201,839
Nov 20201,800
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,500
Aug 20201,239
Jul 20201,173
Jun 20201,306
Mar 20201,383
Feb 20201,317
Jan 20201,450
Dec 20191,260
Nov 20191,200
Oct 20191,260
Aug 2019883
Jul 20191,083
Jun 20191,333
May 20191,471
Mar 20191,250
Feb 20191,067
Jan 20191,440
Dec 20181,467
Nov 20181,240
Oct 20181,250
Sept 20181,100
Aug 20181,117
Jul 2018962
Jun 20181,150
May 20181,220
Apr 20181,225
Mar 20181,100
Feb 20181,100
Jan 20181,000
Dec 20171,333
Nov 20171,317
Oct 20171,343
Sept 20171,340
Aug 20171,225
Jul 20171,150
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,580
Apr 20171,683
Mar 20171,650
Feb 20171,633
Jan 20171,600
Dec 20161,569
Nov 20161,378
Oct 20161,220

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2429-829-retail-kg.