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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gasenyi

Cibitoke, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,198–4,894

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,827–5,660

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 30% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,198 and 4,894 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,827 and 5,660 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gasenyi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 30% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,198 and 4,894 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,827 and 5,660 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 10,358); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,197–4,151 3,614 2,917–5,065 3,628 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,170–4,544 3,644 2,704–5,753 3,767 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,198–4,894 3,602 2,768–6,238 3,996 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,198–5,288 3,642 2,759–7,536 4,119 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,827–5,660 3,558 2,659–10,358 3,638 –
Price history (111 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,500
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20263,389
May 20265,026
Apr 20265,050
Mar 20263,578
Feb 20263,310
Jan 20263,176
Dec 20253,500
Nov 20253,409
Oct 20253,135
Sept 20253,209
Aug 20253,100
Jul 20252,954
Jun 20253,025
May 20253,500
Apr 20253,381
Mar 20253,921
Feb 20253,136
Jan 20253,264
Dec 20244,047
Nov 20243,659
Oct 20243,424
Sept 20243,233
Aug 20243,090
Jul 20242,967
Jun 20242,566
May 20243,015
Apr 20243,050
Mar 20242,857
Feb 20242,476
Jan 20242,000
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20233,053
Sept 20232,935
Aug 20232,888
Jul 20232,823
Jun 20232,342
May 20233,000
Apr 20233,682
Mar 20233,863
Feb 20233,022
Jan 20232,700
Dec 20222,367
Nov 20222,394
Oct 20221,800
Sept 20221,800
Aug 20221,725
Jun 20221,900
May 20221,925
Apr 20221,800
Mar 20221,274
Feb 20221,475
Jan 20221,234
Dec 20211,325
Nov 20211,344
Oct 20211,400
Sept 20211,300
May 20211,550
Apr 20211,609
Mar 20211,656
Feb 20211,350
Jan 20211,488
Dec 20201,836
Nov 20201,750
Oct 20201,600
Sept 20201,670
Aug 20201,473
Jul 20201,363
Jun 20201,217
Mar 20201,500
Feb 20201,275
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,325
Nov 20191,367
Oct 20191,375
Aug 20191,250
Jul 20191,267
Jun 20191,000
May 20191,150
Mar 20191,250
Feb 2019967
Jan 20191,220
Dec 20181,300
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,217
Sept 20181,167
Aug 20181,050
Jul 20181,040
Jun 2018970
May 20181,050
Apr 20181,000
Mar 20181,100
Feb 20181,050
Jan 2018933
Dec 20171,267
Nov 20171,300
Oct 20171,207
Sept 20171,200
Aug 20171,350
Jul 20171,280
Jun 20171,400
May 20171,350
Apr 20171,550
Mar 20171,633
Feb 20171,600
Jan 20171,575
Dec 20161,538
Nov 20161,257
Oct 20161,175

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2430-829-retail-kg.