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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gasorwe

Muyinga, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 8% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,697–4,770

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,493–4,965

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 43% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,697 and 4,770 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,493 and 4,965 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gasorwe: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 43% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,697 and 4,770 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,493 and 4,965 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 10,284); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,717–3,454 2,967 2,445–4,695 3,307 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,699–3,954 3,083 2,387–5,103 3,485 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,697–4,770 3,068 2,395–8,314 3,741 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,709–5,047 3,149 2,486–10,284 3,982 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,493–4,965 2,999 2,308–8,884 3,343 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,800
Jun 20262,625
May 20264,912
Apr 20264,562
Mar 20263,000
Feb 20263,000
Jan 20262,780
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,694
Oct 20252,646
Sept 20252,409
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,419
Jun 20252,214
May 20252,583
Apr 20253,050
Mar 20253,269
Feb 20253,000
Jan 20253,078
Dec 20243,561
Nov 20243,191
Oct 20243,111
Sept 20242,836
Aug 20242,802
Jul 20242,500
Jun 20242,337
May 20242,743
Apr 20242,953
Mar 20242,825
Feb 20242,742
Jan 20242,525
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20232,500
Oct 20232,800
Sept 20232,467
Aug 20232,488
Jul 20232,138
Jun 20231,828
May 20233,080
Apr 20233,456
Mar 20233,500
Feb 20233,257
Dec 20222,233
Nov 20221,982
Oct 20221,776
Sept 20221,500
Aug 20221,250
May 20221,733
Apr 20221,600
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,000
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,150
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,394
Mar 20211,368
Feb 20211,400
Jan 20211,233
Dec 20201,530
Nov 20201,600
Oct 20201,478
Sept 20201,373
Aug 20201,350
Jul 20201,100
Jun 20201,017
Mar 20201,250
Feb 20201,175
Jan 2020980
Dec 20191,133
Nov 20191,033
Oct 20191,000
Aug 2019940
Jul 20191,050
Jun 2019733
May 20191,000
Mar 20191,017
Feb 20191,000
Jan 2019933
Dec 20181,200
Nov 20181,000
Oct 2018983
Sept 2018950
Aug 2018833
Jul 2018800
Jun 2018800
May 2018875
Apr 2018767
Mar 2018700
Feb 2018775
Jan 2018860
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,100
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,050
Aug 2017950
Jul 2017925
Jun 2017850
May 20171,000
Apr 20171,325
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,420
Jan 20171,425
Dec 20161,444
Nov 20161,230
Oct 20161,029

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2431-829-retail-kg.