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Maize (white) in Gihamagara

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,150–2,112

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,098–2,292

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,150 and 2,112 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,098 and 2,292 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Gihamagara: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,150 and 2,112 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,098 and 2,292 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,184); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,078–1,569 1,268 980–1,844 1,774 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,122–1,727 1,347 998–1,941 1,946 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,150–2,112 1,381 975–3,632 2,180 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,142–2,189 1,415 971–4,184 2,292 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,098–2,292 1,388 941–3,893 2,170 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,150
Jun 20261,000
May 20261,133
Apr 2026900
Mar 20261,294
Feb 20261,675
Jan 20261,897
Dec 20251,676
Nov 20251,400
Oct 20251,600
Sept 20251,517
Aug 20251,385
Jul 20251,312
Jun 20251,346
May 2025971
Apr 20251,144
Mar 20251,021
Feb 20251,765
Jan 20252,125
Dec 20242,284
Nov 20242,262
Oct 20241,847
Sept 20241,762
Aug 20241,536
Jul 20241,317
Jun 20241,406
May 20241,071
Apr 20241,200
Mar 20241,141
Feb 20241,439
Jan 20241,711
Dec 20231,700
Nov 20231,800
Oct 20231,750
Sept 20231,715
Aug 20231,500
Jul 20231,522
Jun 20231,528
May 20231,345
Apr 20231,244
Mar 20231,569
Feb 20231,761
Dec 20221,822
Nov 20221,756
Oct 20221,719
Sept 20221,421
Aug 20221,329
Jun 2022950
May 2022927
Apr 2022800
Mar 2022618
Feb 20221,005
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,000
May 2021600
Apr 2021537
Mar 2021500
Feb 2021875
Jan 2021800
Dec 2020730
Nov 2020800
Oct 2020727
Sept 2020635
Aug 2020600
Jul 2020592
Jun 2020550
Mar 2020567
Feb 2020580
Jan 2020867
Dec 20191,171
Oct 2019910
Aug 2019700
Jul 2019838
Jun 2019433
May 2019400
Mar 2019333
Feb 2019583
Jan 2019775
Dec 2018775
Nov 2018692
Oct 2018475
Sept 2018450
Aug 2018440
Jul 2018408
Jun 2018425
May 2018380
Apr 2018375
Mar 2018508
Feb 2018600
Jan 2018933
Dec 20171,050
Nov 20171,000
Oct 20171,075
Sept 2017942
Aug 2017900
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 2017950
Apr 2017900
Mar 2017700
Feb 20171,100
Jan 20171,240
Dec 20161,133
Nov 20161,025
Oct 2016825

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2432-67-retail-kg.