Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gihamagara

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,620–4,308

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,414–4,771

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 30% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,620 and 4,308 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,414 and 4,771 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gihamagara: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 30% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,620 and 4,308 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,414 and 4,771 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,197); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,617–3,460 2,869 2,298–4,169 3,179 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,628–4,000 2,934 2,166–4,992 3,278 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,620–4,308 2,946 2,197–5,353 3,540 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,611–4,473 3,008 2,185–6,314 3,641 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,414–4,771 2,865 2,004–7,197 3,194 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,750
Jun 20262,467
May 20263,925
Apr 20264,250
Mar 20263,073
Feb 20262,706
Jan 20262,383
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,300
Oct 20252,300
Sept 20252,467
Aug 20252,530
Jul 20252,335
Jun 20252,417
May 20252,465
Apr 20252,894
Mar 20253,144
Feb 20253,125
Jan 20253,354
Dec 20243,616
Nov 20243,240
Oct 20242,981
Sept 20242,788
Aug 20242,718
Jul 20242,400
Jun 20242,202
May 20242,294
Apr 20242,900
Mar 20242,875
Feb 20242,982
Jan 20242,378
Dec 20232,100
Nov 20232,400
Oct 20232,647
Sept 20232,460
Aug 20232,375
Jul 20231,911
Jun 20231,857
May 20232,840
Apr 20233,378
Mar 20233,413
Feb 20233,009
Dec 20222,094
Nov 20222,085
Oct 20221,655
Sept 20221,430
Aug 20221,220
Jun 20221,000
May 20221,222
Apr 20221,500
Mar 2022975
Feb 2022974
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,150
May 2021900
Apr 20211,185
Mar 20211,235
Feb 20211,275
Jan 20211,117
Dec 20201,406
Nov 20201,662
Oct 20201,564
Sept 20201,430
Aug 20201,200
Jul 20201,133
Jun 2020950
Mar 20201,317
Feb 20201,200
Jan 2020950
Dec 20191,079
Nov 2019960
Oct 20191,010
Aug 2019834
Jul 20191,012
Jun 2019690
May 2019900
Mar 20191,117
Feb 2019892
Jan 20191,125
Dec 20181,243
Nov 20181,050
Oct 2018967
Sept 2018980
Aug 2018830
Jul 2018775
Jun 2018783
May 2018940
Apr 2018900
Mar 2018675
Feb 2018900
Jan 2018867
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,100
Oct 20171,200
Sept 2017967
Aug 2017850
Jul 2017867
Jun 2017850
May 20171,050
Apr 20171,200
Mar 20171,500
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,425
Dec 20161,400
Nov 20161,183
Oct 20161,050

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2432-829-retail-kg.