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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gihogazi

Karuzi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 10% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,294–3,800

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,178–4,215

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 27% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,294 and 3,800 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,178 and 4,215 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gihogazi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 27% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,294 and 3,800 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,178 and 4,215 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,802); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,293–3,073 2,563 2,124–3,624 3,002 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,284–3,481 2,648 2,049–3,918 3,091 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,294–3,800 2,616 2,076–5,092 3,269 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,305–4,054 2,681 2,105–5,575 3,455 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,178–4,215 2,620 1,954–5,802 3,098 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,375
Jun 20262,283
May 20263,275
Apr 20264,500
Mar 20262,992
Feb 20262,610
Jan 20262,250
Dec 20252,422
Nov 20252,333
Oct 20252,539
Sept 20252,500
Aug 20252,350
Jul 20252,315
Jun 20251,989
May 20252,132
Apr 20252,643
Mar 20253,395
Feb 20253,135
Jan 20252,816
Dec 20243,239
Nov 20242,841
Oct 20242,850
Sept 20242,830
Aug 20242,394
Jul 20241,950
Jun 20242,024
May 20242,505
Apr 20242,888
Mar 20242,750
Feb 20242,565
Jan 20242,397
Dec 20232,400
Nov 20232,500
Oct 20232,564
Sept 20232,392
Aug 20232,500
Jul 20232,200
Jun 20231,500
May 20233,000
Apr 20233,500
Mar 20233,422
Feb 20233,350
Dec 20222,200
Nov 20222,035
Oct 20221,731
Sept 20221,443
Aug 20221,198
May 20221,475
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,054
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,000
May 20211,500
Apr 20211,481
Mar 20211,589
Feb 20211,525
Jan 20211,369
Dec 20201,456
Nov 20201,517
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,278
Aug 20201,216
Jul 20201,012
Jun 20201,000
Mar 20201,360
Feb 20201,500
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,075
Nov 20191,017
Oct 20191,033
Aug 2019908
Jul 2019940
Jun 2019517
May 20191,267
Mar 20191,317
Feb 20191,033
Jan 20191,083
Dec 20181,050
Nov 2018900
Oct 2018900
Sept 2018942
Aug 2018900
Jul 2018770
Jun 2018825
May 2018850
Apr 2018844
Feb 2018867
Jan 2018733
Dec 2017950
Nov 20171,025
Oct 20171,125
Sept 2017939
Aug 2017800
Jul 2017706
Jun 2017700
May 20171,033
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,500
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,533
Dec 20161,433
Nov 20161,172
Oct 20161,075

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2433-829-retail-kg.