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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gitobe

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,282–4,038

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,714–3,823

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 24% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,282 and 4,038 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,714 and 3,823 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gitobe: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 24% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,282 and 4,038 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,714 and 3,823 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,033); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,310–3,090 2,582 2,111–3,716 2,834 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,282–3,419 2,662 2,008–4,095 2,831 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,282–4,038 2,657 2,029–5,907 3,169 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,193–4,244 2,655 2,083–6,711 3,170 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,714–3,823 2,234 1,690–8,033 2,413 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,500
Jun 20262,394
May 20263,284
Apr 20264,917
Mar 20262,823
Feb 20262,194
Jan 20261,892
Dec 20252,000
Nov 20252,000
Oct 20252,062
Sept 20252,117
Aug 20252,145
Jul 20252,239
Jun 20252,031
May 20252,035
Apr 20252,467
Mar 20252,538
Feb 20252,435
Jan 20252,033
Dec 20243,544
Nov 20242,982
Oct 20242,785
Sept 20242,483
Aug 20242,346
Jul 20242,000
Jun 20242,000
May 20241,889
Apr 20241,933
Mar 20241,833
Feb 20241,800
Jan 20241,933
Dec 20231,900
Nov 20232,200
Oct 20232,567
Sept 20232,367
Aug 20232,233
Jul 20231,850
Jun 20231,830
May 20232,747
Apr 20233,238
Mar 20233,123
Feb 20232,683
Dec 20222,030
Nov 20221,981
Oct 20221,607
Sept 20221,426
Aug 20221,175
Jul 20221,000
May 20221,050
Apr 20221,450
Mar 2022850
Feb 2022850
Jan 2022894
Oct 2021900
May 2021800
Apr 2021933
Mar 20211,085
Feb 20211,283
Jan 2021982
Dec 20201,245
Nov 20201,433
Sept 20201,317
Aug 20201,235
Jul 20201,085
Jun 2020933
Mar 20201,140
Feb 2020983
Jan 2020867
Dec 20191,067
Nov 20191,000
Oct 2019940
Aug 2019917
Jul 2019983
Jun 2019750
May 2019900
Mar 20191,017
Feb 20191,025
Jan 2019840
Dec 20181,067
Nov 20181,017
Oct 2018992
Sept 2018933
Aug 2018860
Jul 2018833
Jun 2018800
May 2018740
Apr 2018579
Mar 2018612
Feb 2018650
Jan 2018620
Dec 2017983
Nov 20171,050
Oct 20171,025
Sept 2017936
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 20171,000
Apr 20171,200
Mar 20171,140
Feb 20171,000
Jan 20171,267
Dec 20161,300
Nov 20161,244
Oct 20161,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2434-829-retail-kg.