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Cassava flour in Jene

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 8% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,252–2,166

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,218–2,236

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 8% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,252 and 2,166 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,218 and 2,236 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Cassava flour, Jene: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 8% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,252 and 2,166 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,218 and 2,236 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,196); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,296–1,770 1,519 1,202–2,145 1,487 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,249–1,937 1,517 1,044–3,001 1,435 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,252–2,166 1,502 1,019–3,648 1,709 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,219–2,355 1,482 1,027–5,196 1,645 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,218–2,236 1,512 1,057–3,854 1,593 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,550
Jul 20262,000
Jun 20261,716
May 20261,692
Apr 20261,550
Mar 20261,522
Feb 20261,570
Jan 20261,250
Dec 20251,175
Nov 20251,161
Oct 20251,129
Sept 20251,078
Aug 20251,250
Jul 20251,554
Jun 20251,588
May 20251,486
Apr 20251,493
Mar 20251,464
Feb 20251,287
Jan 20251,197
Dec 20241,452
Nov 20241,500
Oct 20241,485
Sept 20241,347
Aug 20241,293
Jul 20241,583
Jun 20241,396
May 20241,706
Apr 20241,700
Mar 20241,895
Feb 20241,887
Jan 20241,733
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20231,868
Oct 20231,847
Sept 20231,700
Aug 20231,652
Jul 20231,914
Jun 20232,039
May 20232,093
Apr 20232,088
Mar 20231,980
Feb 20231,685
Dec 20221,342
Nov 20221,300
Oct 20221,200
Sept 20221,210
Aug 20221,229
Jun 20221,200
May 20221,190
Apr 20221,200
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,167
Jan 20221,100
Oct 2021900
May 20211,000
Apr 2021960
Mar 2021944
Feb 20211,000
Jan 2021937
Dec 2020876
Nov 2020900
Oct 2020600
Sept 2020662
Aug 2020722
Jul 2020699
Jun 2020812
Mar 2020783
Feb 2020783
Jan 2020700
Dec 2019642
Oct 2019475
Aug 2019458
Jul 2019490
Jun 2019700
May 2019692
Mar 2019592
Feb 2019517
Jan 2019567
Dec 2018560
Nov 2018583
Oct 2018533
Sept 2018517
Aug 2018550
Jul 2018592
Jun 2018825
May 2018958
Apr 2018862
Mar 2018800
Feb 2018900
Jan 2018900
Dec 20171,033
Nov 20171,100
Oct 20171,086
Sept 20171,133
Aug 20171,167
Jul 20171,200
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,533
Apr 20171,400
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,200
Jan 20171,186
Dec 20161,100
Nov 2016969
Oct 2016840

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2435-74-retail-kg.