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Maize flour in Jene

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 15% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,644–2,165

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,560–2,181

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,644 and 2,165 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,560 and 2,181 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Jene: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,644 and 2,165 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,560 and 2,181 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,613–1,885 1,700 1,547–1,983 2,139 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,621–2,023 1,770 1,492–2,037 2,281 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,644–2,165 1,846 1,542–2,508 2,494 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,650–2,264 1,880 1,452–2,855 2,542 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,560–2,181 1,792 1,426–2,452 2,341 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,650
Jul 20261,750
Jun 20261,750
May 20261,667
Apr 20261,500
Mar 20261,797
Feb 20261,935
Jan 20262,000
Dec 20251,875
Nov 20252,000
Oct 20251,959
Sept 20251,878
Aug 20251,683
Jul 20251,785
Jun 20251,584
May 20251,627
Apr 20251,944
Mar 20251,704
Feb 20252,067
Jan 20252,322
Dec 20242,682
Nov 20242,372
Oct 20242,070
Sept 20241,955
Aug 20241,762
Jul 20241,500
Jun 20241,448
May 20241,437
Apr 20241,425
Mar 20241,523
Feb 20241,696
Jan 20242,167
Dec 20232,100
Nov 20232,300
Oct 20232,200
Sept 20232,000
Aug 20232,013
Jul 20231,771
Jun 20231,678
May 20231,693
Apr 20231,710
Mar 20231,823
Feb 20231,785
Dec 20222,285
Nov 20222,269
Oct 20221,740
Sept 20221,583
Aug 20221,471
Jun 20221,200
May 20221,110
Apr 20221,133
Mar 20221,033
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,275
May 2021800
Apr 2021842
Mar 2021879
Feb 20211,100
Jan 20211,286
Dec 20201,288
Nov 20201,296
Oct 20201,200
Sept 20201,145
Aug 20201,066
Jul 2020951
Jun 2020912
Mar 2020817
Feb 20201,050
Jan 20201,300
Dec 20191,450
Oct 20191,183
Aug 2019950
Jul 2019950
Jun 2019717
May 2019700
Mar 2019700
Feb 2019792
Jan 2019900
Dec 2018880
Nov 2018850
Oct 2018750
Sept 2018733
Aug 2018708
Jul 2018742
Jun 2018708
May 2018700
Apr 2018688
Mar 2018750
Feb 2018900
Jan 2018967
Dec 20171,100
Nov 20171,120
Oct 20171,264
Sept 20171,294
Aug 20171,300
Jul 20171,289
Jun 20171,300
May 20171,367
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,308
Feb 20171,450
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,495
Nov 20161,300
Oct 20161,380

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2435-76-retail-kg.