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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Jene

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 6% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,831–4,733

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,604–5,212

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 38% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,831 and 4,733 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,604 and 5,212 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Jene: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 38% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,831 and 4,733 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,604 and 5,212 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,355); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,846–3,746 3,169 2,654–4,726 3,488 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,798–4,154 3,284 2,582–5,557 3,585 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,831–4,733 3,255 2,618–6,857 3,946 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,823–5,001 3,319 2,614–8,355 4,084 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,604–5,212 3,206 2,430–7,986 3,597 –
Price history (107 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,000
Jul 20262,700
Jun 20262,809
May 20264,875
Apr 20264,250
Mar 20263,653
Feb 20262,965
Jan 20262,800
Dec 20252,850
Nov 20252,848
Oct 20252,900
Sept 20252,617
Aug 20252,733
Jul 20252,892
Jun 20252,744
May 20252,706
Apr 20253,285
Mar 20253,631
Feb 20253,653
Jan 20254,247
Dec 20244,020
Nov 20243,400
Oct 20243,175
Sept 20242,965
Aug 20242,737
Jul 20242,250
Jun 20242,052
May 20242,368
Apr 20242,950
Mar 20242,676
Feb 20242,887
Jan 20242,844
Dec 20232,750
Nov 20232,834
Oct 20232,943
Sept 20232,742
Aug 20232,781
Jul 20232,190
Jun 20231,944
May 20233,127
Apr 20233,775
Mar 20233,510
Feb 20233,098
Dec 20222,306
Nov 20222,324
Oct 20221,836
Sept 20221,665
Aug 20221,427
Jun 20221,800
May 20221,686
Apr 20221,867
Mar 20221,200
Feb 20221,233
Jan 20221,067
Oct 20211,250
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,325
Mar 20211,512
Feb 20211,550
Jan 20211,342
Dec 20201,549
Nov 20201,629
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,500
Aug 20201,466
Jul 20201,296
Jun 20201,138
Mar 20201,375
Feb 20201,383
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,267
Nov 20191,200
Oct 20191,183
Aug 20191,067
Jul 20191,170
Jun 2019867
May 20191,333
Mar 20191,183
Feb 20191,017
Jan 20191,217
Dec 20181,300
Nov 20181,117
Oct 20181,100
Sept 20181,100
Aug 20181,000
Jul 20181,017
Jun 20181,033
May 20181,017
Apr 2018950
Mar 20181,000
Feb 2018833
Jan 2018767
Dec 20171,100
Nov 20171,210
Oct 20171,221
Sept 20171,111
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017967
Jun 20171,000
May 20171,067
Apr 20171,400
Mar 20171,350
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,586
Dec 20161,520
Nov 20161,350
Oct 20161,160

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2435-829-retail-kg.