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Food basket in Jene

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

26,028–40,054

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

25,410–42,862

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,796 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,028 and 40,054 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,410 and 42,862 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Jene: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,796 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 26,028 and 40,054 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 25,410 and 42,862 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 79,729); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 27,041–33,737 29,826 25,731–38,219
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 26,194–36,402 29,957 23,471–47,637
Nov 2026
Next month		 26,028–40,054 30,516 23,341–58,536
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 25,708–43,892 30,270 23,411–79,729
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 25,410–42,862 30,493 23,125–62,227
Cost history (91 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202629,796
Jul 202635,070
Jun 202632,005
May 202635,400
Apr 202632,288
Mar 202630,876
Feb 202630,508
Jan 202626,250
Dec 202524,750
Nov 202525,642
Oct 202526,079
Sept 202525,300
Aug 202527,740
Jul 202531,973
Jun 202531,902
May 202529,958
Apr 202531,004
Mar 202530,961
Feb 202527,652
Jan 202526,767
Dec 202429,086
Nov 202428,334
Oct 202427,672
Sept 202425,690
Aug 202424,899
Jul 202427,362
Jun 202424,566
May 202428,844
Apr 202429,798
Mar 202431,541
Feb 202431,741
Jan 202430,075
Dec 202332,814
Nov 202331,408
Oct 202331,598
Sept 202329,633
Aug 202328,863
Jul 202330,771
Jun 202331,804
May 202334,531
Apr 202335,374
Mar 202333,512
Feb 202329,053
Dec 202223,520
Nov 202223,052
Oct 202220,655
Sept 202220,825
Aug 202220,769
Jun 202221,090
May 202220,708
Apr 202220,727
Mar 202217,844
Feb 202218,704
Jan 202217,604
Oct 202115,568
May 202116,008
Apr 202115,969
Mar 202115,980
Feb 202116,688
Jan 202115,499
Dec 202014,994
Nov 202015,440
Oct 202011,694
Sept 202012,312
Aug 202013,095
Jul 202012,536
Jun 202013,678
Mar 202013,669
Feb 202013,626
Jan 202012,331
Dec 201911,728
Oct 20199,486
Aug 20199,398
Jul 20199,964
Jun 201911,938
May 201912,816
Mar 201910,955
Feb 20199,640
Jan 201910,646
Dec 201810,716
Nov 201810,459
Oct 20189,898
Sept 201810,204
Aug 201810,850
Jul 201811,242
Jun 201814,014
May 201815,342
Apr 201813,897
Mar 201813,056
Feb 201813,818
Jan 201813,813

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620